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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
TAMWORTH vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Tamworth's and Hereford's ELO scores.
| Tamworth | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3237.5 | 3083.4 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3387.6 Saturday, December 18, 2004 |
3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2891.2 Saturday, January 26, 2019 |
2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Tamworth and Hereford.
| Venue | Played | Tamworth wins |
Draws | Hereford wins |
Tamworth goals |
Hereford goals |
Tamworth SR% |
Hereford SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| HOME | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| AWAY | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 FEB 2024 | CONF | Hereford (3071) |
0 - 0 | Tamworth (3242) |
3.7 |
| 28 AUG 2023 | CONF | Tamworth (3106) |
4 - 0 | Hereford (3043) |
13.5 |
| 18 APR 2014 | CONF | Tamworth (3177) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3273) |
11.6 |
| 24 AUG 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3418) |
1 - 0 | Tamworth (3276) |
5.2 |
| 1 APR 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3387) |
5 - 2 | Tamworth (3264) |
9.7 |
| 14 AUG 2012 | CONF | Tamworth (3236) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3458) |
4.8 |
| 17 APR 2006 | CONF | Hereford United (3537) |
1 - 0 | Tamworth (3303) |
3.2 |
| 29 AUG 2005 | CONF | Tamworth (3371) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3511) |
7.6 |
| 8 MAR 2005 | CONF | Tamworth (3321) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3520) |
3.8 |
| 27 NOV 2004 | CONF | Hereford United (3548) |
2 - 1 | Tamworth (3360) |
3.9 |
| 13 DEC 2003 | CONF | Hereford United (3484) |
0 - 1 | Tamworth (3316) |
15.7 |
| 9 AUG 2003 | CONF | Tamworth (3392) |
1 - 3 | Hereford United (3414) |
16.6 |