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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
BURY vs. MORECAMBE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Bury vs. Morecambe.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Bury (ELO score: 3566) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Morecambe (ELO score: 3466) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Home | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Away | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 MAR 2016 | LGE | Newport County (3466) |
0 - 2 | Accrington Stanley (3566) |
12.4 |
| 1 FEB 2014 | LGE | Burton Albion (3566) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3466) |
3.8 |
| 29 FEB 1936 | LGE | Crewe Alexandra (3566) |
2 - 4 | Gateshead (3466) |
23.8 |
A historical comparison of Bury's and Morecambe's ELO scores.
| Bury | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3566.2 | 3465.8 |
| Best ELO Score: | 4093.9 Wednesday, April 22, 1903 |
3611.3 Tuesday, September 28, 2021 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3419.3 Tuesday, February 5, 2008 |
3338.9 Tuesday, September 12, 1995 |
A summary of all historical matches between Bury and Morecambe.
| Venue | Played | Bury wins |
Draws | Morecambe wins |
Bury goals |
Morecambe goals |
Bury SR% |
Morecambe SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| HOME | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| AWAY | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 FEB 2019 | LGE | Morecambe (3406) |
2 - 3 | Bury (3589) |
6.1 |
| 1 SEP 2018 | LGE | Bury (3497) |
3 - 2 | Morecambe (3397) |
6.2 |
| 6 APR 2015 | LGE | Bury (3598) |
1 - 2 | Morecambe (3457) |
14.8 |
| 15 NOV 2014 | LGE | Morecambe (3462) |
1 - 0 | Bury (3592) |
12.5 |
| 3 MAY 2014 | LGE | Morecambe (3459) |
0 - 0 | Bury (3557) |
1.6 |
| 12 OCT 2013 | LGE | Bury (3517) |
0 - 2 | Morecambe (3522) |
16.5 |
| 8 MAR 2011 | LGE | Bury (3608) |
1 - 0 | Morecambe (3488) |
5.6 |
| 28 SEP 2010 | LGE | Morecambe (3521) |
1 - 4 | Bury (3508) |
20.4 |
| 23 FEB 2010 | LGE | Bury (3597) |
0 - 0 | Morecambe (3520) |
3.4 |
| 1 DEC 2009 | LGE | Morecambe (3515) |
3 - 0 | Bury (3560) |
17.5 |
| 10 MAR 2009 | LGE | Morecambe (3527) |
0 - 0 | Bury (3560) |
0.4 |
| 23 AUG 2008 | LGE | Bury (3541) |
2 - 1 | Morecambe (3465) |
6.6 |
| 8 MAR 2008 | LGE | Bury (3464) |
2 - 1 | Morecambe (3489) |
9.3 |
| 24 NOV 2007 | LGE | Morecambe (3507) |
2 - 1 | Bury (3502) |
8.4 |