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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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HEREFORD
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Hereford's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Hereford sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1976 Saturday, September 4, 1976 3777.86  
  1977 Saturday, August 13, 1977 3727.95  
  1975 Saturday, December 20, 1975 3706.90  
  1974 Tuesday, November 26, 1974 3657.61  
  2008 Saturday, May 3, 2008 3637.46  
  1973 Saturday, December 15, 1973 3626.22  
  2007 Saturday, December 15, 2007 3613.36  
  2004 Saturday, August 21, 2004 3596.14  
  2009 Saturday, February 28, 2009 3595.19  
  1978 Monday, January 2, 1978 3592.13  
  1985 Friday, March 8, 1985 3590.41  
  2006 Saturday, August 26, 2006 3573.66  
  1984 Wednesday, December 26, 1984 3572.85  
  1996 Saturday, April 20, 1996 3549.26  
  2005 Saturday, April 16, 2005 3546.61  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Hereford sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2014 Friday, December 26, 2014 2756.82  
  2015 Thursday, January 1, 2015 2759.72  
  2017 Saturday, August 19, 2017 2817.29  
  2020 Saturday, February 29, 2020 3026.57  
  2018 Monday, January 1, 2018 3032.43  
  2019 Saturday, December 28, 2019 3047.35  
  2013 Tuesday, November 12, 2013 3332.54  
  1984 Saturday, February 11, 1984 3340.95  
  1981 Saturday, April 4, 1981 3346.72  
  1980 Saturday, November 8, 1980 3348.52  
  1992 Saturday, September 19, 1992 3349.12  
  1994 Monday, December 26, 1994 3350.52  
  1983 Saturday, March 12, 1983 3353.21  
  1999 Saturday, April 3, 1999 3355.10  
  1993 Saturday, January 2, 1993 3356.21  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Hereford's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hereford United (3347) vs. Newcastle United (3963)
  Saturday, February 5, 1972
-514.1 4.9% 2-1 +19.0 
  Hereford United (3270) vs. Millwall (3747)
  Saturday, December 4, 1965
-373.1 10.5% 1-0 +17.9 
  Hereford United (3384) vs. Portsmouth (3765)
  Wednesday, August 31, 1983
-289.5 15.9% 3-2 +16.8 
  Hereford United (3219) vs. Exeter City (3586)
  Thursday, November 26, 1953
-261.5 18.2% 2-0 +24.6 
  Hereford United (3254) vs. Queens Park Rangers (3609)
  Saturday, December 7, 1957
-249.0 19.3% 6-1 +32.3 
  West Bromwich Albion (3733) vs. Hereford United (3388)
  Wednesday, September 7, 1994
-415.0 8.4% 0-1 +9.2 
  Hereford United (3413) vs. Fulham (3739)
  Saturday, January 2, 1982
-228.1 21.2% 1-0 +15.8 
  Hereford United (3611) vs. West Ham United (3913)
  Wednesday, January 9, 1974
-198.7 24.2% 2-1 +15.2 
  Northampton Town (3595) vs. Hereford United (3298)
  Tuesday, November 24, 1970
-401.8 9.0% 1-2 +18.2 
  Hereford United (3223) vs. Aldershot (3505)
  Saturday, November 17, 1956
-173.7 26.9% 3-2 +14.6 
  Southend United (3627) vs. Hereford United (3358)
  Saturday, November 22, 1980
-368.4 10.7% 0-1 +17.9 
  Hereford United (3549) vs. Coventry City (3806)
  Tuesday, August 22, 2006
-204.8 23.5% 3-1 +11.5 
  Hereford United (3402) vs. Southend United (3652)
  Saturday, November 21, 1981
-151.5 29.5% 3-1 +21.2 
  Hereford United (3524) vs. Bristol Rovers (3770)
  Wednesday, August 16, 1978
-141.2 30.7% 4-0 +26.0 
  Hereford United (3496) vs. Charlton Athletic (3731)
  Tuesday, August 11, 2009
-189.2 25.2% 1-0 +7.5 
  Hereford United (3484) vs. Bristol City (3718)
  Wednesday, August 21, 1985
-142.9 30.5% 5-1 +26.1 
  Hereford United (3373) vs. Shrewsbury Town (3605)
  Saturday, November 3, 2012
-189.9 25.1% 3-1 +11.2 
  Hereford United (3460) vs. York City (3687)
  Saturday, May 12, 1984
-134.8 31.5% 2-1 +13.7 
  Carlisle United (3641) vs. Hereford United (3416)
  Saturday, March 15, 1997
-290.6 15.8% 2-3 +16.8 
  Hereford United (3362) vs. Mansfield Town (3586)
  Saturday, January 31, 1981
-124.6 32.8% 2-1 +13.4 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Hereford's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hereford United (3632) vs. Wealdstone (3153)
  Wednesday, November 30, 1977
+583.4 96.6% 2-3 -19.3 
  Hereford United (3197) vs. Burnham (2724)
  Saturday, August 30, 2014
+513.7 95.1% 2-5 -33.3 
  Slough Town (2736) vs. Hereford United (3112)
  Tuesday, October 21, 2014
+335.0 87.3% 2-0 -26.2 
  Hereford United (3287) vs. St. Neots Town (2920)
  Saturday, August 9, 2014
+407.5 91.3% 0-2 -27.4 
  Dorchester Town (2924) vs. Hereford United (3250)
  Saturday, August 16, 2014
+286.1 83.8% 3-0 -29.3 
  Chippenham Town (2863) vs. Hereford United (3142)
  Tuesday, September 30, 2014
+238.3 79.8% 2-1 -16.0 
  Enfield (3106) vs. Hereford United (3372)
  Saturday, December 13, 1980
+165.9 72.2% 2-0 -21.7 
  Hereford United (3214) vs. Redditch United (2951)
  Monday, August 25, 2014
+304.3 85.2% 1-2 -17.0 
  Hereford United (3585) vs. Halifax Town (3322)
  Saturday, September 4, 2004
+323.1 86.5% 2-3 -17.3 
  Hitchin Town (3104) vs. Hereford United (3366)
  Tuesday, November 22, 1994
+193.0 75.2% 4-2 -11.3 
  AFC Bournemouth (3477) vs. Hereford United (3728)
  Tuesday, August 16, 1977
+146.5 69.9% 4-2 -21.0 
  Hyde (3193) vs. Hereford United (3439)
  Saturday, September 8, 2012
+202.7 76.3% 5-2 -26.7 
  Hereford United (3556) vs. Kidderminster Harriers (3317)
  Saturday, March 25, 2006
+295.5 84.6% 0-1 -16.9 
  Hereford United (3757) vs. Halifax Town (3530)
  Wednesday, March 17, 1976
+330.0 87.0% 1-2 -17.4 
  Hereford United (3509) vs. Leigh RMI (3285)
  Saturday, November 1, 2003
+283.1 83.6% 0-1 -16.7 
  Hereford United (3570) vs. Rochdale (3348)
  Wednesday, April 3, 1985
+314.3 85.9% 1-2 -17.2 
  Halifax Town (3317) vs. Hereford United (3531)
  Tuesday, December 3, 1985
+123.9 67.1% 1-0 -13.4 
  Dagenham and Redbridge (3376) vs. Hereford United (3586)
  Tuesday, October 5, 2004
+149.8 70.3% 3-1 -21.1 
  Hereford United (3690) vs. AFC Bournemouth (3485)
  Tuesday, August 23, 1977
+309.5 85.6% 1-2 -17.1 
  Burton Albion (3320) vs. Hereford United (3522)
  Saturday, January 8, 2005
+141.5 69.3% 3-0 -24.3 
 
   

The twenty teams that Hereford are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Farnborough 16 +6.19 
  Cheltenham Town 14 +5.21 
  Kettering Town 13 +5.02 
  Forest Green Rovers 20 +4.21 
  Bradford City 20 +3.72 
  Northampton Town 50 +3.63 
  AFC Telford United 20 +3.11 
  Wigan Athletic 18 +2.55 
  Burnley 17 +2.47 
  Aldershot Town 48 +2.22 
  York City 34 +2.18 
  Barnet 32 +2.11 
  Wrexham 37 +1.89 
  Hartlepool United 40 +1.83 
  Fulham 11 +1.75 
  Carlisle United 26 +1.57 
  Colchester United 43 +1.51 
  Scarborough Athletic 34 +1.23 
  Stockport County 41 +0.96 
  Rochdale 46 +0.95 

The twenty teams that Hereford are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Macclesfield Town 14 -5.75 
  Burton Albion 15 -5.65 
  Doncaster Rovers 38 -5.06 
  Yeovil Town 19 -4.70 
  Blackpool 14 -4.65 
  Newport County 19 -4.33 
  Cardiff City 23 -3.63 
  Walsall 25 -2.95 
  AFC Bournemouth 19 -2.92 
  Preston North End 16 -2.89 
  Lincoln City 42 -2.73 
  Southend United 25 -2.35 
  Shrewsbury Town 27 -2.22 
  Accrington Stanley 17 -1.97 
  Mansfield Town 32 -1.74 
  Crewe Alexandra 38 -1.08 
  Chesterfield 30 -1.02 
  Port Vale 34 -0.98 
  Tranmere Rovers 31 -0.91 
  Plymouth Argyle 16 -0.85