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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
WREXHAM vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Wrexham's and Hereford's ELO scores.
| Wrexham | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3635.5 | 3097.1 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3859.2 Monday, March 27, 1978 |
3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3282.6 Friday, April 14, 2017 |
2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Wrexham and Hereford.
| Venue | Played | Wrexham wins |
Draws | Hereford wins |
Wrexham goals |
Hereford goals |
Wrexham SR% |
Hereford SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 39 | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| HOME | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| AWAY | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 24 | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 MAR 2014 | CONF | Wrexham (3364) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3308) |
11 |
| 1 MAR 2014 | CONF | Hereford United (3321) |
0 - 2 | Wrexham (3377) |
14.3 |
| 12 FEB 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3413) |
0 - 1 | Wrexham (3481) |
9.3 |
| 10 NOV 2012 | CONF | Wrexham (3495) |
1 - 2 | Hereford United (3395) |
13.9 |
| 22 APR 2008 | LGE | Hereford United (3612) |
2 - 0 | Wrexham (3398) |
5.4 |
| 1 SEP 2007 | LGE | Wrexham (3462) |
0 - 2 | Hereford United (3511) |
15 |
| 30 DEC 2006 | LGE | Hereford United (3549) |
2 - 0 | Wrexham (3489) |
10.3 |
| 24 SEP 2006 | LGE | Wrexham (3514) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3543) |
9.4 |
| 18 NOV 2001 | CUP | Hereford United (3404) |
1 - 0 | Wrexham (3542) |
6 |
| 6 MAR 1993 | LGE | Wrexham (3538) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3382) |
6.3 |
| 3 OCT 1992 | LGE | Hereford United (3351) |
1 - 1 | Wrexham (3419) |
0.2 |
| 26 DEC 1991 | LGE | Hereford United (3436) |
3 - 1 | Wrexham (3374) |
9.4 |
| 17 AUG 1991 | LGE | Wrexham (3366) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3433) |
10.2 |
| 30 MAR 1991 | LGE | Hereford United (3457) |
1 - 0 | Wrexham (3359) |
5.4 |
| 26 DEC 1990 | LGE | Wrexham (3427) |
1 - 2 | Hereford United (3477) |
10.8 |
| 10 FEB 1990 | LGE | Wrexham (3391) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3454) |
0.4 |
| 16 SEP 1989 | LGE | Hereford United (3498) |
0 - 0 | Wrexham (3527) |
1.4 |
| 11 MAR 1989 | LGE | Wrexham (3576) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3427) |
5.8 |
| 5 NOV 1988 | LGE | Hereford United (3415) |
0 - 0 | Wrexham (3508) |
0.4 |
| 13 FEB 1988 | LGE | Hereford United (3433) |
0 - 2 | Wrexham (3429) |
18.9 |
| 28 DEC 1987 | LGE | Wrexham (3437) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3445) |
2.3 |
| 6 MAY 1987 | LGE | Wrexham (3519) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3419) |
4.9 |
| 23 AUG 1986 | LGE | Hereford United (3468) |
0 - 0 | Wrexham (3430) |
3.5 |
| 12 APR 1986 | LGE | Hereford United (3462) |
3 - 1 | Wrexham (3408) |
9.1 |
| 9 NOV 1985 | LGE | Wrexham (3436) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3515) |
10.3 |
| 2 MAR 1985 | LGE | Wrexham (3351) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3574) |
3.6 |
| 27 OCT 1984 | LGE | Hereford United (3536) |
2 - 1 | Wrexham (3361) |
3.5 |
| 17 MAR 1984 | LGE | Hereford United (3402) |
3 - 0 | Wrexham (3451) |
15.3 |
| 8 OCT 1983 | LGE | Wrexham (3525) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3409) |
5.4 |
| 29 APR 1978 | LGE | Hereford United (3521) |
1 - 1 | Wrexham (3821) |
5.1 |
| 10 DEC 1977 | LGE | Wrexham (3792) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3610) |
3.2 |
| 13 MAR 1976 | LGE | Wrexham (3682) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3766) |
9.5 |
| 11 OCT 1975 | LGE | Hereford United (3659) |
2 - 0 | Wrexham (3633) |
9.7 |
| 1 FEB 1975 | LGE | Hereford United (3643) |
1 - 0 | Wrexham (3641) |
7.1 |
| 9 NOV 1974 | LGE | Wrexham (3714) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3650) |
5.6 |
| 22 DEC 1973 | LGE | Wrexham (3646) |
5 - 0 | Hereford United (3626) |
13.2 |
| 29 SEP 1973 | LGE | Hereford United (3581) |
2 - 0 | Wrexham (3646) |
13.4 |