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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

SWINDON TOWN vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town vs. Merthyr Town.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Swindon Town
(ELO score: 3556)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Merthyr Town
(ELO score: 2750)
TOTAL 0 0 1
Home 0 0 1

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
8 NOV 2015 CUP Bristol Rovers  
(3556)  
0 - 1   Chesham United
  (2750)
9.9

 

A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.


  Swindon Town   Merthyr Town  
  Current ELO Score: 3555.9   2749.9  
  Best ELO Score: 3898.2  
Tuesday, August 28, 1990  
3670  
Saturday, September 3, 1921  
  Worst ELO Score: 3364.9  
Saturday, March 8, 1902  
3283.1  
Tuesday, September 27, 1994  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Merthyr Town.

 Venue Played Swindon Town
wins
Draws Merthyr Town
wins
Swindon Town
goals
Merthyr Town
goals
Swindon Town
SR%
Merthyr Town
SR%
 TOTAL 27 14 6 7 60 38 63.0% 37.0%
 HOME 14 12 0 2 42 12 85.7% 14.3%
 AWAY 13 2 6 5 18 26 38.5% 61.5%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
13 NOV 1965 CUP Swindon Town  
(3715)  
5 - 1   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3374)
2.7
8 FEB 1930 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3401)  
3 - 3   Swindon Town
  (3612)
2.3
5 OCT 1929 LGE Swindon Town  
(3616)  
6 - 3   Merthyr Town
  (3469)
5.9
20 APR 1929 LGE Swindon Town  
(3649)  
2 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3476)
3
15 APR 1929 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3475)  
0 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3650)
1.3
18 FEB 1928 LGE Swindon Town  
(3735)  
1 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3502)
17.8
8 OCT 1927 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3559)  
8 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3641)
18.4
27 DEC 1926 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3577)  
1 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3745)
8.8
25 DEC 1926 LGE Swindon Town  
(3742)  
3 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3580)
3.2
22 FEB 1926 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3562)  
2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3682)
10
19 SEP 1925 LGE Swindon Town  
(3702)  
0 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3455)
26.8
25 APR 1925 LGE Swindon Town  
(3706)  
5 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3461)
4.1
20 DEC 1924 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3574)  
1 - 5   Swindon Town
  (3726)
17
13 OCT 1923 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3571)  
2 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3702)
15.7
6 OCT 1923 LGE Swindon Town  
(3695)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3578)
7.3
4 SEP 1922 LGE Swindon Town  
(3720)  
4 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3644)
9.4
28 AUG 1922 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3638)  
1 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3708)
1.3
12 DEC 1921 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3632)  
4 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3726)
16.5
10 DEC 1921 LGE Swindon Town  
(3717)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3640)
8.8
2 OCT 1920 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3555)  
2 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3706)
1
25 SEP 1920 LGE Swindon Town  
(3700)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3562)
6.6
8 SEP 1919 SL Merthyr Town  
(3552)  
0 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3734)
1.8
1 SEP 1919 SL Swindon Town  
(3724)  
1 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3549)
3.1
13 APR 1914 SL Swindon Town  
(3791)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3544)
3.8
10 APR 1914 SL Merthyr Town  
(3545)  
1 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3794)
3.5
24 MAR 1913 SL Merthyr Town  
(3611)  
1 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3809)
12.2
21 MAR 1913 SL Swindon Town  
(3788)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3620)
5.6