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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

SWINDON TOWN vs. DERBY COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Derby County's ELO scores.


  Swindon Town   Derby County  
  Current ELO Score: 3553.5   3914.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3898.2  
Tuesday, August 28, 1990  
4130.3  
Saturday, April 15, 1972  
  Worst ELO Score: 3364.9  
Saturday, March 8, 1902  
3619.9  
Monday, December 26, 1955  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Derby County.

 Venue Played Swindon Town
wins
Draws Derby County
wins
Swindon Town
goals
Derby County
goals
Swindon Town
SR%
Derby County
SR%
 TOTAL 14 3 3 8 15 25 32.1% 67.9%
 HOME 8 3 2 3 11 11 50.0% 50.0%
 AWAY 6 0 1 5 4 14 8.3% 91.7%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
22 MAR 1995 LGE Derby County  
(3876)  
3 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3762)
7.8
30 NOV 1994 CUP Swindon Town  
(3756)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3849)
5.3
11 SEP 1994 LGE Swindon Town  
(3823)  
1 - 1   Derby County
  (3811)
2.3
21 MAR 1993 LGE Derby County  
(3848)  
2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3869)
8.5
6 DEC 1992 LGE Swindon Town  
(3841)  
2 - 4   Derby County
  (3843)
18.1
2 MAY 1992 LGE Derby County  
(3854)  
2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3830)
7.2
12 OCT 1991 LGE Swindon Town  
(3839)  
1 - 2   Derby County
  (3828)
12.4
5 SEP 1972 CUP Swindon Town  
(3783)  
0 - 1   Derby County
  (4094)
4.6
5 NOV 1968 CUP Swindon Town  
(3801)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3857)
8.6
30 OCT 1968 CUP Derby County  
(3862)  
0 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3790)
4.7
13 FEB 1965 LGE Derby County  
(3792)  
4 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3705)
8.8
3 OCT 1964 LGE Swindon Town  
(3694)  
4 - 2   Derby County
  (3793)
14.8
11 APR 1964 LGE Derby County  
(3743)  
3 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3732)
11.9
30 NOV 1963 LGE Swindon Town  
(3828)  
0 - 0   Derby County
  (3769)
4.4