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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

SWINDON TOWN vs. ASTON VILLA
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Aston Villa's ELO scores.


  Swindon Town   Aston Villa  
  Current ELO Score: 3573.6   3828.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3898.2  
Tuesday, August 28, 1990  
4269.4  
Saturday, September 18, 1897  
  Worst ELO Score: 3364.9  
Saturday, March 8, 1902  
3652.7  
Saturday, March 28, 1970  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Aston Villa.

 Venue Played Swindon Town
wins
Draws Aston Villa
wins
Swindon Town
goals
Aston Villa
goals
Swindon Town
SR%
Aston Villa
SR%
 TOTAL 12 2 3 7 12 21 29.2% 70.8%
 HOME 7 1 2 4 7 11 28.6% 71.4%
 AWAY 5 1 1 3 5 10 30.0% 70.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
30 OCT 2012 CUP Swindon Town  
(3725)  
2 - 3   Aston Villa
  (3959)
2.5
12 FEB 1994 LGE Aston Villa  
(4047)  
5 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3813)
5.9
30 OCT 1993 LGE Swindon Town  
(3802)  
1 - 2   Aston Villa
  (4046)
5.4
16 FEB 1992 CUP Swindon Town  
(3846)  
1 - 2   Aston Villa
  (3964)
8.8
7 MAY 1988 LGE Swindon Town  
(3804)  
0 - 0   Aston Villa
  (3918)
0.7
5 DEC 1987 LGE Aston Villa  
(3914)  
2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3818)
5.1
6 APR 1974 LGE Aston Villa  
(3850)  
1 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3619)
7.4
24 NOV 1973 LGE Swindon Town  
(3698)  
1 - 0   Aston Villa
  (3850)
11.4
10 FEB 1973 LGE Swindon Town  
(3779)  
1 - 3   Aston Villa
  (3848)
16.4
16 SEP 1972 LGE Aston Villa  
(3881)  
2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3779)
4.7
26 DEC 1969 LGE Swindon Town  
(3820)  
1 - 1   Aston Villa
  (3716)
5.4
23 AUG 1969 LGE Aston Villa  
(3777)  
0 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3802)
18.4