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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

SWANSEA CITY vs. ASTON VILLA
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swansea City vs. Aston Villa.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Swansea City
(ELO score: 3841)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Aston Villa
(ELO score: 4010)
TOTAL 0 2 0
Home 0 1 0
Away 0 1 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
14 FEB 2004 CUP Sunderland  
(3841)  
1 - 1   Birmingham City
  (4010)
2.3
27 MAR 1959 LGE Bolton Wanderers  
(4010)  
3 - 3   Leicester City
  (3841)
6.6

 

A historical comparison of Swansea City's and Aston Villa's ELO scores.


  Swansea City   Aston Villa  
  Current ELO Score: 3841.2   4010.2  
  Best ELO Score: 4081  
Tuesday, January 29, 2013  
4269.4  
Saturday, September 18, 1897  
  Worst ELO Score: 3349  
Saturday, January 18, 2003  
3652.7  
Saturday, March 28, 1970  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Swansea City and Aston Villa.

 Venue Played Swansea City
wins
Draws Aston Villa
wins
Swansea City
goals
Aston Villa
goals
Swansea City
SR%
Aston Villa
SR%
 TOTAL 30 10 3 17 30 48 38.3% 61.7%
 HOME 16 6 2 8 21 24 43.8% 56.3%
 AWAY 14 4 1 9 9 24 32.1% 67.9%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
5 JAN 2019 CUP Aston Villa  
(3928)  
0 - 3   Swansea City
  (3889)
10.7
26 DEC 2018 LGE Swansea City  
(3891)  
0 - 1   Aston Villa
  (3922)
10.3
20 OCT 2018 LGE Aston Villa  
(3888)  
1 - 0   Swansea City
  (3926)
9.9
19 MAR 2016 LGE Swansea City  
(3994)  
1 - 0   Aston Villa
  (3869)
5.6
24 OCT 2015 LGE Aston Villa  
(3919)  
1 - 2   Swansea City
  (4025)
8.1
21 MAR 2015 LGE Aston Villa  
(3944)  
0 - 1   Swansea City
  (4018)
9
26 DEC 2014 LGE Swansea City  
(4038)  
1 - 0   Aston Villa
  (3939)
6.2
26 APR 2014 LGE Swansea City  
(3989)  
4 - 1   Aston Villa
  (3932)
12.7
28 DEC 2013 LGE Aston Villa  
(3963)  
1 - 1   Swansea City
  (4006)
0.1
1 JAN 2013 LGE Swansea City  
(4048)  
2 - 2   Aston Villa
  (3971)
3.3
15 SEP 2012 LGE Aston Villa  
(3962)  
2 - 0   Swansea City
  (4018)
15.5
2 JAN 2012 LGE Aston Villa  
(4043)  
0 - 2   Swansea City
  (3957)
20.4
27 NOV 2011 LGE Swansea City  
(3953)  
0 - 0   Aston Villa
  (4035)
1.1
2 MAY 1983 LGE Swansea City  
(3868)  
2 - 1   Aston Villa
  (4019)
11.7
25 SEP 1982 LGE Aston Villa  
(4007)  
2 - 0   Swansea City
  (3937)
8.5
21 MAY 1982 LGE Aston Villa  
(4007)  
3 - 0   Swansea City
  (3962)
10.7
15 DEC 1981 LGE Swansea City  
(3898)  
2 - 1   Aston Villa
  (4068)
12
1 APR 1972 LGE Aston Villa  
(3818)  
2 - 0   Swansea City
  (3629)
4.7
27 DEC 1971 LGE Swansea City  
(3699)  
1 - 2   Aston Villa
  (3753)
11.4
3 APR 1971 LGE Aston Villa  
(3718)  
3 - 0   Swansea City
  (3648)
9.4
29 AUG 1970 LGE Swansea City  
(3570)  
1 - 2   Aston Villa
  (3714)
8.9
21 SEP 1965 CUP Swansea Town  
(3649)  
2 - 3   Aston Villa
  (3976)
4.3
2 JAN 1960 LGE Swansea Town  
(3800)  
1 - 3   Aston Villa
  (3990)
11.3
29 AUG 1959 LGE Aston Villa  
(3938)  
1 - 0   Swansea Town
  (3753)
3.2
19 APR 1938 LGE Aston Villa  
(3942)  
4 - 0   Swansea Town
  (3748)
4.9
18 APR 1938 LGE Swansea Town  
(3735)  
2 - 1   Aston Villa
  (3955)
12.5
26 DEC 1936 LGE Aston Villa  
(3865)  
4 - 0   Swansea Town
  (3787)
8.6
29 AUG 1936 LGE Swansea Town  
(3772)  
1 - 2   Aston Villa
  (3920)
9.6
31 JAN 1925 CUP Swansea Town  
(3777)  
1 - 3   Aston Villa
  (3990)
11.1
2 FEB 1924 CUP Swansea Town  
(3790)  
0 - 2   Aston Villa
  (4038)
9.5