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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

SWANSEA CITY vs. ARSENAL
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swansea City vs. Arsenal.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Swansea City
(ELO score: 3852)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Arsenal
(ELO score: 4125)
TOTAL 0 0 1
Away 0 0 1

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
4 FEB 1961 LGE Sheffield Wednesday  
(4125)  
5 - 1   Preston North End
  (3852)
3.8

 

A historical comparison of Swansea City's and Arsenal's ELO scores.


  Swansea City   Arsenal  
  Current ELO Score: 3852.1   4124.9  
  Best ELO Score: 4081  
Tuesday, January 29, 2013  
4316.1  
Saturday, October 16, 2004  
  Worst ELO Score: 3349  
Saturday, January 18, 2003  
3686.7  
Saturday, September 15, 1894  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Swansea City and Arsenal.

 Venue Played Swansea City
wins
Draws Arsenal
wins
Swansea City
goals
Arsenal
goals
Swansea City
SR%
Arsenal
SR%
 TOTAL 25 9 3 13 32 39 42.0% 58.0%
 HOME 13 5 2 6 17 22 46.2% 53.8%
 AWAY 12 4 1 7 15 17 37.5% 62.5%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
30 JAN 2018 LGE Swansea City  
(3966)  
3 - 1   Arsenal
  (4218)
23.2
28 OCT 2017 LGE Arsenal  
(4227)  
2 - 1   Swansea City
  (3984)
3.3
14 JAN 2017 LGE Swansea City  
(3937)  
0 - 4   Arsenal
  (4222)
7.2
15 OCT 2016 LGE Arsenal  
(4240)  
3 - 2   Swansea City
  (4002)
3.4
2 MAR 2016 LGE Arsenal  
(4214)  
1 - 2   Swansea City
  (3979)
16.6
31 OCT 2015 LGE Swansea City  
(4033)  
0 - 3   Arsenal
  (4255)
9
11 MAY 2015 LGE Arsenal  
(4275)  
0 - 1   Swansea City
  (4041)
16.6
9 NOV 2014 LGE Swansea City  
(4038)  
2 - 1   Arsenal
  (4212)
13.7
25 MAR 2014 LGE Arsenal  
(4219)  
2 - 2   Swansea City
  (3972)
6.8
28 SEP 2013 LGE Swansea City  
(4023)  
1 - 2   Arsenal
  (4208)
6.1
16 MAR 2013 LGE Swansea City  
(4059)  
0 - 2   Arsenal
  (4150)
12.9
16 JAN 2013 CUP Arsenal  
(4153)  
1 - 0   Swansea City
  (4072)
3.3
6 JAN 2013 CUP Swansea City  
(4045)  
2 - 2   Arsenal
  (4167)
1.1
1 DEC 2012 LGE Arsenal  
(4169)  
0 - 2   Swansea City
  (4026)
22.3
15 JAN 2012 LGE Swansea City  
(3981)  
3 - 2   Arsenal
  (4148)
13.4
10 SEP 2011 LGE Arsenal  
(4113)  
1 - 0   Swansea City
  (3922)
4.1
1 JAN 1983 LGE Arsenal  
(4024)  
2 - 1   Swansea City
  (3902)
4.5
20 NOV 1982 LGE Swansea City  
(3915)  
1 - 2   Arsenal
  (4035)
9.2
27 FEB 1982 LGE Arsenal  
(4061)  
0 - 2   Swansea City
  (3943)
23.3
10 OCT 1981 LGE Swansea City  
(3885)  
2 - 0   Arsenal
  (4034)
17.2
2 SEP 1980 CUP Arsenal  
(4073)  
3 - 1   Swansea City
  (3785)
2.9
26 AUG 1980 CUP Swansea City  
(3781)  
1 - 1   Arsenal
  (4069)
4.9
17 FEB 1968 CUP Swansea Town  
(3566)  
0 - 1   Arsenal
  (4050)
2
28 JAN 1950 CUP Arsenal  
(4091)  
2 - 1   Swansea Town
  (3788)
1.8
6 MAR 1926 CUP Swansea Town  
(3910)  
2 - 1   Arsenal
  (4006)
9.3