Change:

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

STEVENAGE vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Stevenage's and Hereford's ELO scores.


  Stevenage   Hereford  
  Current ELO Score: 3640.6   3097.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3756.5  
Tuesday, October 23, 2012  
3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
  Worst ELO Score: 3300.5  
Thursday, December 26, 2002  
2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Stevenage and Hereford.

 Venue Played Stevenage
wins
Draws Hereford
wins
Stevenage
goals
Hereford
goals
Stevenage
SR%
Hereford
SR%
 TOTAL 23 9 5 9 24 26 50.0% 50.0%
 HOME 11 3 2 6 8 15 36.4% 63.6%
 AWAY 12 6 3 3 16 11 62.5% 37.5%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
8 MAR 2011 LGE Stevenage  
(3576)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3484)
13.7
28 SEP 2010 LGE Hereford United  
(3423)  
1 - 4   Stevenage
  (3575)
12.3
27 FEB 2006 CONF Hereford United  
(3528)  
2 - 0   Stevenage Borough
  (3468)
10.2
10 SEP 2005 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3471)  
0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3511)
0.4
6 MAY 2005 CUP Hereford United  
(3541)  
0 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3460)
13.8
2 MAY 2005 CUP Stevenage Borough  
(3459)  
1 - 1   Hereford United
  (3542)
0.6
2 APR 2005 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3449)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3518)
9.7
28 AUG 2004 CONF Hereford United  
(3596)  
0 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3420)
15.9
3 JAN 2004 CONF Hereford United  
(3495)  
1 - 0   Stevenage Borough
  (3418)
6.3
30 AUG 2003 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3463)  
0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3472)
17.1
22 FEB 2003 CONF Hereford United  
(3470)  
2 - 2   Stevenage Borough
  (3335)
5.2
21 SEP 2002 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3391)  
0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3409)
17
27 APR 2002 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3383)  
3 - 1   Hereford United
  (3386)
12.3
22 SEP 2001 CONF Hereford United  
(3420)  
1 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3443)
1.2
12 MAR 2001 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3465)  
2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3466)
8.1
23 SEP 2000 CONF Hereford United  
(3469)  
1 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3406)
3.6
28 FEB 2000 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3469)  
0 - 3   Hereford United
  (3449)
21.8
19 SEP 1999 CONF Hereford United  
(3417)  
1 - 2   Stevenage Borough
  (3512)
9.2
30 JAN 1999 CONF Hereford United  
(3390)  
0 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3425)
10.9
10 OCT 1998 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3455)  
0 - 3   Hereford United
  (3441)
21.5
19 JAN 1998 CONF Stevenage Borough  
(3419)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3443)
13.3
30 AUG 1997 CONF Hereford United  
(3436)  
0 - 2   Stevenage Borough
  (3536)
13.5
11 NOV 1995 CUP Hereford United  
(3424)  
2 - 1   Stevenage Borough
  (3516)
5.3