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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

NEWPORT COUNTY vs. CARLISLE UNITED
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Newport County vs. Carlisle United.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Newport County
(ELO score: 3526)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Carlisle United
(ELO score: 3491)
TOTAL 1 0 0
Home 1 0 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
24 DEC 1932 LGE Darlington  
(3526)  
3 - 0   York City
  (3491)
9.8

 

A historical comparison of Newport County's and Carlisle United's ELO scores.


  Newport County   Carlisle United  
  Current ELO Score: 3526   3491  
  Best ELO Score: 3779.8  
Monday, April 4, 1983  
3907.2  
Saturday, August 24, 1974  
  Worst ELO Score: 2980.4  
Saturday, January 7, 2006  
3293.8  
Saturday, December 13, 2003  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Newport County and Carlisle United.

 Venue Played Newport County
wins
Draws Carlisle United
wins
Newport County
goals
Carlisle United
goals
Newport County
SR%
Carlisle United
SR%
 TOTAL 22 10 6 6 40 32 59.1% 40.9%
 HOME 11 7 2 2 20 11 72.7% 27.3%
 AWAY 11 3 4 4 20 21 45.5% 54.5%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
10 MAR 2020 LGE Carlisle United  
(3465)  
2 - 0   Newport County
  (3484)
14.1
5 OCT 2019 LGE Newport County  
(3583)  
1 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3495)
6.5
2 MAR 2019 LGE Newport County  
(3489)  
2 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3552)
15.9
3 NOV 2018 LGE Carlisle United  
(3495)  
3 - 2   Newport County
  (3513)
9.3
5 MAY 2018 LGE Carlisle United  
(3552)  
1 - 1   Newport County
  (3490)
2.8
9 DEC 2017 LGE Newport County  
(3500)  
3 - 3   Carlisle United
  (3513)
0.7
29 APR 2017 LGE Carlisle United  
(3481)  
2 - 1   Newport County
  (3431)
7.6
12 NOV 2016 LGE Newport County  
(3410)  
2 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3612)
21.7
13 FEB 2016 LGE Newport County  
(3461)  
1 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3548)
11.4
26 SEP 2015 LGE Carlisle United  
(3503)  
0 - 1   Newport County
  (3417)
13.4
3 JAN 2015 LGE Newport County  
(3556)  
2 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3457)
6.2
29 NOV 2014 LGE Carlisle United  
(3475)  
2 - 3   Newport County
  (3525)
9.7
2 APR 1988 LGE Newport County  
(3312)  
1 - 2   Carlisle United
  (3358)
11.2
7 NOV 1987 LGE Carlisle United  
(3447)  
3 - 1   Newport County
  (3385)
8.9
28 FEB 1987 LGE Carlisle United  
(3535)  
2 - 2   Newport County
  (3527)
2.7
28 OCT 1986 LGE Newport County  
(3573)  
1 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3665)
0.1
20 MAR 1982 LGE Carlisle United  
(3688)  
2 - 2   Newport County
  (3581)
5.3
31 OCT 1981 LGE Newport County  
(3628)  
2 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3656)
12
5 MAY 1981 LGE Newport County  
(3616)  
4 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3647)
15.1
30 AUG 1980 LGE Carlisle United  
(3665)  
1 - 4   Newport County
  (3597)
25.4
22 FEB 1964 LGE Carlisle United  
(3634)  
3 - 3   Newport County
  (3483)
6.2
12 OCT 1963 LGE Newport County  
(3465)  
1 - 4   Carlisle United
  (3557)
18.1