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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
NELSON vs. SOUTHPORT
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Nelson vs. Southport.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Nelson (ELO score: 3299) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Southport (ELO score: 3041) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Home | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 OCT 2022 | CONF | Ebbsfleet United (3299) |
1 - 1 | Welling United (3041) |
6.9 |
A historical comparison of Nelson's and Southport's ELO scores.
| Nelson | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3298.5 | 3041.2 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3706.6 Saturday, March 7, 1925 |
3727.6 Saturday, September 12, 1931 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3325.8 Saturday, May 2, 1931 |
2947.9 Monday, August 28, 2023 |
A summary of all historical matches between Nelson and Southport.
| Venue | Played | Nelson wins |
Draws | Southport wins |
Nelson goals |
Southport goals |
Nelson SR% |
Southport SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 43 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| HOME | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| AWAY | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 NOV 1932 | CUP | Nelson (3334) |
0 - 4 | Southport (3613) |
11.2 |
| 26 NOV 1932 | CUP | Southport (3621) |
3 - 3 | Nelson (3326) |
8.4 |
| 18 APR 1931 | LGE | Nelson (3339) |
1 - 4 | Southport (3672) |
8.3 |
| 1 JAN 1931 | LGE | Southport (3644) |
8 - 1 | Nelson (3384) |
4.3 |
| 28 DEC 1929 | LGE | Southport (3579) |
0 - 0 | Nelson (3515) |
5 |
| 31 AUG 1929 | LGE | Nelson (3501) |
2 - 2 | Southport (3565) |
1.9 |
| 19 JAN 1929 | LGE | Nelson (3462) |
1 - 1 | Southport (3548) |
1.2 |
| 8 SEP 1928 | LGE | Southport (3583) |
5 - 1 | Nelson (3422) |
5.9 |
| 20 MAR 1928 | LGE | Nelson (3443) |
1 - 1 | Southport (3633) |
1.8 |
| 17 SEP 1927 | LGE | Southport (3547) |
1 - 2 | Nelson (3555) |
13.3 |
| 23 APR 1927 | LGE | Nelson (3629) |
1 - 2 | Southport (3560) |
15.1 |
| 4 DEC 1926 | LGE | Southport (3510) |
3 - 4 | Nelson (3652) |
9.5 |
| 23 JAN 1926 | LGE | Southport (3531) |
2 - 1 | Nelson (3664) |
10.3 |
| 12 SEP 1925 | LGE | Nelson (3618) |
3 - 3 | Southport (3585) |
4.2 |
| 21 APR 1925 | LGE | Nelson (3672) |
2 - 1 | Southport (3646) |
6 |
| 30 AUG 1924 | LGE | Southport (3564) |
1 - 0 | Nelson (3659) |
9.3 |
| 30 SEP 1922 | LGE | Southport (3563) |
0 - 1 | Nelson (3520) |
14.3 |
| 23 SEP 1922 | LGE | Nelson (3507) |
2 - 0 | Southport (3576) |
13.1 |
| 11 FEB 1922 | LGE | Southport (3548) |
0 - 1 | Nelson (3494) |
14.5 |
| 4 FEB 1922 | LGE | Nelson (3485) |
3 - 2 | Southport (3557) |
8.8 |