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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

NELSON vs. BARROW
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Nelson's and Barrow's ELO scores.


  Nelson   Barrow  
  Current ELO Score: 3298.5   3493.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3706.6  
Saturday, March 7, 1925  
3699.8  
Friday, November 1, 1968  
  Worst ELO Score: 3325.8  
Saturday, May 2, 1931  
3017.1  
Saturday, October 16, 2004  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Nelson and Barrow.

 Venue Played Nelson
wins
Draws Barrow
wins
Nelson
goals
Barrow
goals
Nelson
SR%
Barrow
SR%
 TOTAL 18 8 2 8 29 29 50.0% 50.0%
 HOME 9 5 2 2 20 12 66.7% 33.3%
 AWAY 9 3 0 6 9 17 33.3% 66.7%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
11 APR 1931 LGE Barrow  
(3491)  
2 - 1   Nelson
  (3343)
3.4
6 DEC 1930 LGE Nelson  
(3398)  
0 - 3   Barrow
  (3387)
24.3
15 FEB 1930 LGE Barrow  
(3406)  
0 - 2   Nelson
  (3506)
16.3
12 OCT 1929 LGE Nelson  
(3491)  
2 - 0   Barrow
  (3409)
6.8
23 FEB 1929 LGE Barrow  
(3431)  
7 - 2   Nelson
  (3497)
16.4
13 OCT 1928 LGE Nelson  
(3423)  
3 - 4   Barrow
  (3419)
13.6
29 SEP 1927 LGE Barrow  
(3316)  
3 - 1   Nelson
  (3573)
20.3
12 SEP 1927 LGE Nelson  
(3551)  
4 - 0   Barrow
  (3324)
4.3
26 MAR 1927 LGE Nelson  
(3656)  
3 - 0   Barrow
  (3319)
2.3
6 NOV 1926 LGE Barrow  
(3348)  
0 - 1   Nelson
  (3637)
5.6
28 SEP 1925 LGE Barrow  
(3428)  
1 - 0   Nelson
  (3621)
12
8 SEP 1925 LGE Nelson  
(3625)  
3 - 3   Barrow
  (3445)
7
24 JAN 1925 LGE Nelson  
(3658)  
2 - 0   Barrow
  (3493)
4.9
20 SEP 1924 LGE Barrow  
(3445)  
3 - 0   Nelson
  (3658)
22.1
11 NOV 1922 LGE Nelson  
(3552)  
2 - 1   Barrow
  (3527)
6.2
4 NOV 1922 LGE Barrow  
(3519)  
1 - 0   Nelson
  (3560)
7.9
17 APR 1922 LGE Nelson  
(3485)  
1 - 1   Barrow
  (3530)
2
24 DEC 1921 LGE Barrow  
(3496)  
0 - 2   Nelson
  (3551)
17.5