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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

MORECAMBE vs. HAYES
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Morecambe's and Hayes's ELO scores.


  Morecambe   Hayes  
  Current ELO Score: 3479.5   3011.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3611.3  
Tuesday, September 28, 2021  
3482.6  
Saturday, May 1, 1999  
  Worst ELO Score: 3338.9  
Tuesday, September 12, 1995  
2962.3  
Tuesday, December 26, 2006  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Morecambe and Hayes.

 Venue Played Morecambe
wins
Draws Hayes
wins
Morecambe
goals
Hayes
goals
Morecambe
SR%
Hayes
SR%
 TOTAL 12 6 1 5 22 21 54.2% 45.8%
 HOME 6 2 0 4 11 14 33.3% 66.7%
 AWAY 6 4 1 1 11 7 75.0% 25.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
19 JAN 2002 CONF Morecambe  
(3402)  
2 - 1   Hayes
  (3348)
6.7
1 SEP 2001 CONF Hayes  
(3328)  
3 - 1   Morecambe
  (3394)
15
16 APR 2001 CONF Hayes  
(3346)  
1 - 1   Morecambe
  (3411)
0.1
11 NOV 2000 CONF Morecambe  
(3433)  
4 - 0   Hayes
  (3360)
11.6
22 JAN 2000 CONF Morecambe  
(3425)  
1 - 4   Hayes
  (3411)
21.5
21 AUG 1999 CONF Hayes  
(3476)  
0 - 1   Morecambe
  (3384)
14.3
19 DEC 1998 CONF Morecambe  
(3441)  
2 - 3   Hayes
  (3390)
13.3
29 AUG 1998 CONF Hayes  
(3421)  
1 - 2   Morecambe
  (3410)
12.2
3 JAN 1998 CONF Morecambe  
(3471)  
0 - 2   Hayes
  (3403)
20.4
23 AUG 1997 CONF Hayes  
(3380)  
0 - 3   Morecambe
  (3440)
17.7
8 MAR 1997 CONF Hayes  
(3355)  
2 - 3   Morecambe
  (3414)
10.2
7 DEC 1996 CONF Morecambe  
(3469)  
2 - 4   Hayes
  (3310)
23.5