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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

MILLWALL vs. CHELSEA
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Millwall's and Chelsea's ELO scores.


  Millwall   Chelsea  
  Current ELO Score: 3867.7   4148.5  
  Best ELO Score: 3991.5  
Saturday, March 25, 1989  
4368.6  
Sunday, January 15, 2006  
  Worst ELO Score: 3417.6  
Monday, September 8, 1958  
3705.6  
Saturday, April 30, 1983  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Millwall and Chelsea.

 Venue Played Millwall
wins
Draws Chelsea
wins
Millwall
goals
Chelsea
goals
Millwall
SR%
Chelsea
SR%
 TOTAL 17 6 6 5 21 26 52.9% 47.1%
 HOME 9 3 4 2 11 12 55.6% 44.4%
 AWAY 8 3 2 3 10 14 50.0% 50.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
8 FEB 1995 CUP Chelsea  
(3919)  
1 - 1   Millwall
  (3850)
1.9
28 JAN 1995 CUP Millwall  
(3839)  
0 - 0   Chelsea
  (3917)
0.1
5 MAY 1990 LGE Millwall  
(3810)  
1 - 3   Chelsea
  (3986)
10.9
4 NOV 1989 LGE Chelsea  
(3988)  
4 - 0   Millwall
  (3910)
10.9
4 FEB 1985 CUP Chelsea  
(4002)  
2 - 3   Millwall
  (3714)
18
9 OCT 1984 CUP Millwall  
(3716)  
1 - 1   Chelsea
  (3966)
4.2
26 SEP 1984 CUP Chelsea  
(3949)  
3 - 1   Millwall
  (3701)
3.7
12 FEB 1977 LGE Chelsea  
(3848)  
1 - 1   Millwall
  (3816)
3.7
4 SEP 1976 LGE Millwall  
(3747)  
3 - 0   Chelsea
  (3826)
16.3
10 OCT 1960 CUP Millwall  
(3469)  
1 - 7   Chelsea
  (3954)
4.3
30 JAN 1937 CUP Millwall  
(3680)  
3 - 0   Chelsea
  (3977)
25.2
18 JAN 1930 LGE Millwall  
(3710)  
0 - 0   Chelsea
  (3852)
0.4
14 SEP 1929 LGE Chelsea  
(3794)  
3 - 0   Millwall
  (3694)
7.4
30 MAR 1929 LGE Chelsea  
(3839)  
0 - 3   Millwall
  (3786)
25.9
17 NOV 1928 LGE Millwall  
(3841)  
2 - 1   Chelsea
  (3893)
7.8
14 JAN 1914 CUP Chelsea  
(3938)  
0 - 1   Millwall
  (3686)
17.9
10 JAN 1914 CUP Millwall  
(3682)  
0 - 0   Chelsea
  (3942)
3.8