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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

HEREFORD vs. ROCHDALE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Hereford's and Rochdale's ELO scores.


  Hereford   Rochdale  
  Current ELO Score: 3083.4   3340.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  		 3735.9  
Saturday, September 10, 1927  
  Worst ELO Score: 2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  		 3233.1  
Saturday, August 27, 1932  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Rochdale.

 Venue Played Hereford
wins		 Draws Rochdale
wins		 Hereford
goals		 Rochdale
goals		 Hereford
SR%		 Rochdale
SR%
 TOTAL 46 16 19 11 67 59 55.4% 44.6%
 HOME 23 9 11 3 36 22 63.0% 37.0%
 AWAY 23 7 8 8 31 37 47.8% 52.2%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
24 APR 2010 LGE Hereford United   
(3456)  		 2 - 1   Rochdale
  (3594)		 12.6
26 SEP 2009 LGE Rochdale  
(3545)  		 4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3482)		 12.2
12 FEB 2008 LGE Rochdale   
(3602)  		 2 - 4   Hereford United
  (3602)		 17.1
25 AUG 2007 LGE Hereford United   
(3511)  		 1 - 1   Rochdale
  (3567)		 0.2
24 FEB 2007 LGE Hereford United  
(3547)  		 0 - 0   Rochdale
  (3523)		 2.1
2 SEP 2006 LGE Rochdale  
(3445)  		 1 - 1   Hereford United
  (3574)		 2.2
18 FEB 1997 LGE Rochdale  
(3422)  		 0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3435)		 1.5
21 SEP 1996 LGE Hereford United  
(3475)  		 3 - 0   Rochdale
  (3403)		 10.9
4 MAY 1996 LGE Hereford United  
(3533)  		 2 - 0   Rochdale
  (3410)		 7.5
18 NOV 1995 LGE Rochdale  
(3502)  		 0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3429)		 3.8
25 MAR 1995 LGE Hereford United  
(3390)  		 0 - 0   Rochdale
  (3445)		 0.4
3 SEP 1994 LGE Rochdale  
(3508)  		 1 - 3   Hereford United
  (3364)		 23.2
12 MAR 1994 LGE Hereford United  
(3398)  		 5 - 1   Rochdale
  (3500)		 20.3
18 SEP 1993 LGE Rochdale  
(3517)  		 2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3384)		 7
16 JAN 1993 LGE Rochdale  
(3506)  		 1 - 3   Hereford United
  (3358)		 23.4
26 SEP 1992 LGE Hereford United  
(3349)  		 1 - 1   Rochdale
  (3494)		 2
21 MAR 1992 LGE Rochdale  
(3552)  		 3 - 1   Hereford United
  (3411)		 6.7
9 NOV 1991 LGE Hereford United  
(3447)  		 1 - 1   Rochdale
  (3504)		 0.5
30 APR 1991 LGE Rochdale  
(3463)  		 2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3469)		 8
30 JAN 1991 LGE Hereford United  
(3468)  		 2 - 0   Rochdale
  (3489)		 12.7
5 MAY 1990 LGE Rochdale  
(3467)  		 5 - 2   Hereford United
  (3454)		 13.1
4 NOV 1989 LGE Hereford United  
(3488)  		 1 - 3   Rochdale
  (3391)		 22
28 FEB 1989 LGE Rochdale  
(3359)  		 2 - 2   Hereford United
  (3411)		 0.8
26 OCT 1988 LGE Hereford United  
(3416)  		 4 - 4   Rochdale
  (3433)		 1.8
20 FEB 1988 LGE Rochdale  
(3378)  		 3 - 1   Hereford United
  (3414)		 12.7
15 AUG 1987 LGE Hereford United  
(3417)  		 0 - 0   Rochdale
  (3408)		 2.7
18 MAR 1987 LGE Hereford United  
(3406)  		 0 - 1   Rochdale
  (3377)		 13.2
21 OCT 1986 LGE Rochdale  
(3400)  		 2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3445)		 13.1
4 FEB 1986 LGE Rochdale  
(3431)  		 1 - 1   Hereford United
  (3464)		 1.6
23 OCT 1985 LGE Hereford United  
(3517)  		 2 - 2   Rochdale
  (3424)		 4.8
3 APR 1985 LGE Hereford United  
(3570)  		 1 - 2   Rochdale
  (3348)		 17.2
25 AUG 1984 LGE Rochdale  
(3359)  		 0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3474)		 9.4
14 APR 1984 LGE Hereford United  
(3463)  		 2 - 1   Rochdale
  (3370)		 5.1
3 DEC 1983 LGE Rochdale  
(3385)  		 3 - 3   Hereford United
  (3394)		 2.4
12 MAR 1983 LGE Rochdale  
(3397)  		 4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3365)		 11.5
30 OCT 1982 LGE Hereford United  
(3437)  		 1 - 0   Rochdale
  (3397)		 6.4
17 APR 1982 LGE Rochdale  
(3392)  		 0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3485)		 10.2
5 DEC 1981 LGE Hereford United  
(3416)  		 0 - 0   Rochdale
  (3383)		 3.6
30 SEP 1980 LGE Rochdale  
(3335)  		 0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3401)		 1
17 SEP 1980 LGE Hereford United  
(3382)  		 3 - 0   Rochdale
  (3360)		 11.6
6 MAY 1980 LGE Rochdale  
(3339)  		 0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3382)		 17.6
17 NOV 1979 LGE Hereford United  
(3416)  		 1 - 1   Rochdale
  (3328)		 5
21 MAR 1979 LGE Hereford United  
(3472)  		 2 - 2   Rochdale
  (3284)		 6.9
23 SEP 1978 LGE Rochdale  
(3249)  		 0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3524)		 8.2
3 APR 1974 LGE Hereford United  
(3595)  		 2 - 1   Rochdale
  (3410)		 3.2
26 FEB 1974 LGE Rochdale  
(3412)  		 1 - 1   Hereford United
  (3596)		 2.3