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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

EXETER CITY vs. ABERDARE TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Exeter City vs. Aberdare Town.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Exeter City
(ELO score: 3549)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Aberdare Town
(ELO score: 3504)
TOTAL 2 0 0
Home 1 0 0
Away 1 0 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
20 FEB 2016 LGE Notts County  
(3504)  
0 - 1   Leyton Orient
  (3549)
9.8
24 OCT 1987 LGE Scunthorpe United  
(3549)  
2 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3504)
6.3

 

A historical comparison of Exeter City's and Aberdare Town's ELO scores.


  Exeter City   Aberdare Town  
  Current ELO Score: 3549.2   3503.9  
  Best ELO Score: 3777.5  
Saturday, January 28, 1933  
3673  
Saturday, March 20, 1926  
  Worst ELO Score: 3318.8  
Saturday, August 12, 1995  
3501.5  
Tuesday, April 19, 1927  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Exeter City and Aberdare Town.

 Venue Played Exeter City
wins
Draws Aberdare Town
wins
Exeter City
goals
Aberdare Town
goals
Exeter City
SR%
Aberdare Town
SR%
 TOTAL 14 7 2 5 28 19 57.1% 42.9%
 HOME 8 6 1 1 23 5 81.3% 18.8%
 AWAY 6 1 1 4 5 14 25.0% 75.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
26 NOV 1927 CUP Exeter City  
(3641)  
9 - 1   Aberdare Athletic
  (3513)
8.8
26 MAR 1927 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3519)  
3 - 1   Exeter City
  (3616)
13.7
27 NOV 1926 CUP Exeter City  
(3635)  
3 - 0   Aberdare Athletic
  (3533)
7.4
6 NOV 1926 LGE Exeter City  
(3628)  
2 - 1   Aberdare Athletic
  (3550)
4.7
3 APR 1926 LGE Exeter City  
(3588)  
4 - 0   Aberdare Athletic
  (3664)
16.3
21 NOV 1925 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3578)  
5 - 0   Exeter City
  (3604)
14.6
7 MAR 1925 LGE Exeter City  
(3660)  
3 - 1   Aberdare Athletic
  (3581)
7.3
1 NOV 1924 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3615)  
3 - 1   Exeter City
  (3580)
8.7
5 JAN 1924 LGE Exeter City  
(3523)  
1 - 1   Aberdare Athletic
  (3584)
1.6
29 DEC 1923 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3588)  
0 - 0   Exeter City
  (3518)
4.9
2 SEP 1922 LGE Exeter City  
(3597)  
1 - 0   Aberdare Athletic
  (3649)
8.2
26 AUG 1922 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3640)  
3 - 1   Exeter City
  (3599)
8.7
6 MAY 1922 LGE Aberdare Athletic  
(3663)  
0 - 2   Exeter City
  (3576)
22.8
29 APR 1922 LGE Exeter City  
(3588)  
0 - 1   Aberdare Athletic
  (3638)
11.8