Change:

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

CREWE ALEXANDRA vs. DERBY COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Crewe Alexandra's and Derby County's ELO scores.


  Crewe Alexandra   Derby County  
  Current ELO Score: 3608.2   3807.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3829.8  
Saturday, January 1, 2005  
4130.3  
Saturday, April 15, 1972  
  Worst ELO Score: 3229.6  
Saturday, October 13, 1979  
3619.9  
Monday, December 26, 1955  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Crewe Alexandra and Derby County.

 Venue Played Crewe Alexandra
wins
Draws Derby County
wins
Crewe Alexandra
goals
Derby County
goals
Crewe Alexandra
SR%
Derby County
SR%
 TOTAL 14 5 3 6 20 31 46.4% 53.6%
 HOME 8 4 1 3 11 12 56.3% 43.8%
 AWAY 6 1 2 3 9 19 33.3% 66.7%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
10 AUG 2010 CUP Crewe Alexandra  
(3457)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3802)
8.5
14 JAN 2006 LGE Derby County  
(3788)  
5 - 1   Crewe Alexandra
  (3666)
9.9
11 SEP 2005 LGE Crewe Alexandra  
(3703)  
1 - 1   Derby County
  (3837)
2.2
5 APR 2005 LGE Crewe Alexandra  
(3737)  
1 - 2   Derby County
  (3833)
9
28 AUG 2004 LGE Derby County  
(3753)  
2 - 4   Crewe Alexandra
  (3737)
18.2
3 MAR 2004 LGE Derby County  
(3713)  
0 - 0   Crewe Alexandra
  (3759)
0.4
18 OCT 2003 LGE Crewe Alexandra  
(3760)  
3 - 0   Derby County
  (3721)
12.7
16 NOV 1985 CUP Derby County  
(3737)  
5 - 1   Crewe Alexandra
  (3423)
3.3
26 JAN 1957 LGE Derby County  
(3680)  
4 - 0   Crewe Alexandra
  (3265)
1.8
5 JAN 1957 LGE Crewe Alexandra  
(3277)  
2 - 5   Derby County
  (3679)
5.4
14 SEP 1955 LGE Derby County  
(3645)  
3 - 3   Crewe Alexandra
  (3459)
6.9
5 SEP 1955 LGE Crewe Alexandra  
(3456)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3668)
13
24 JAN 1948 CUP Crewe Alexandra  
(3577)  
0 - 3   Derby County
  (4072)
3.5
7 JAN 1888 CUP Crewe Alexandra  
(3202)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3214)
6.8