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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

CARDIFF CITY vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Cardiff City's and Hereford's ELO scores.


  Cardiff City   Hereford  
  Current ELO Score: 3891.9   3073.5  
  Best ELO Score: 4104.2  
Wednesday, December 26, 1923  
3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
  Worst ELO Score: 3382.8  
Saturday, April 20, 1996  
2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Cardiff City and Hereford.

 Venue Played Cardiff City
wins
Draws Hereford
wins
Cardiff City
goals
Hereford
goals
Cardiff City
SR%
Hereford
SR%
 TOTAL 23 15 5 3 43 24 76.1% 23.9%
 HOME 12 10 0 2 24 9 83.3% 16.7%
 AWAY 11 5 5 1 19 15 68.2% 31.8%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
27 JAN 2008 CUP Hereford United  
(3600)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3829)
2.6
16 FEB 1997 LGE Hereford United  
(3437)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3432)
2
23 NOV 1996 LGE Cardiff City  
(3453)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3470)
12.9
27 APR 1996 LGE Cardiff City  
(3383)  
3 - 2   Hereford United
  (3537)
12.4
26 NOV 1995 LGE Hereford United  
(3433)  
1 - 3   Cardiff City
  (3473)
16.2
2 JAN 1993 LGE Cardiff City  
(3514)  
2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3360)
4.3
13 SEP 1992 LGE Hereford United  
(3360)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3525)
2.6
22 FEB 1992 LGE Hereford United  
(3411)  
2 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3527)
1.2
11 JAN 1992 LGE Cardiff City  
(3466)  
1 - 0   Hereford United
  (3435)
7
20 APR 1991 LGE Cardiff City  
(3487)  
0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3442)
20
20 OCT 1990 LGE Hereford United  
(3469)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3582)
1.1
19 NOV 1988 CUP Cardiff City  
(3590)  
3 - 0   Hereford United
  (3425)
6.8
13 MAR 1988 LGE Hereford United  
(3417)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3544)
8.9
10 OCT 1987 LGE Cardiff City  
(3521)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3404)
15.3
21 FEB 1987 LGE Hereford United  
(3453)  
0 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3549)
14.6
27 SEP 1986 LGE Cardiff City  
(3547)  
4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3453)
9.1
15 SEP 1982 CUP Hereford United  
(3490)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3690)
7
31 AUG 1982 CUP Cardiff City  
(3678)  
2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3514)
3.7
6 APR 1977 LGE Hereford United  
(3675)  
2 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3719)
1.7
27 DEC 1976 LGE Cardiff City  
(3724)  
3 - 1   Hereford United
  (3694)
9.5
14 APR 1976 LGE Cardiff City  
(3743)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3755)
11.2
4 FEB 1976 LGE Hereford United  
(3717)  
4 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3717)
12.5
29 AUG 1973 CUP Cardiff City  
(3737)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3600)
6