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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

CARDIFF CITY vs. DERBY COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Cardiff City vs. Derby County.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Cardiff City
(ELO score: 3892)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Derby County
(ELO score: 3807)
TOTAL 2 1 0
Home 2 0 0
Away 0 1 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
2 NOV 2002 LGE Watford  
(3807)  
1 - 1   Wolverhampton Wanderers
  (3892)
0.6
10 JAN 1953 CUP Luton Town  
(3892)  
6 - 1   Blackburn Rovers
  (3807)
10.2
11 SEP 1937 LGE Manchester United  
(3892)  
4 - 1   Barnsley
  (3807)
7.8

 

A historical comparison of Cardiff City's and Derby County's ELO scores.


  Cardiff City   Derby County  
  Current ELO Score: 3891.9   3807.1  
  Best ELO Score: 4104.2  
Wednesday, December 26, 1923  
4130.3  
Saturday, April 15, 1972  
  Worst ELO Score: 3382.8  
Saturday, April 20, 1996  
3619.9  
Monday, December 26, 1955  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Cardiff City and Derby County.

 Venue Played Cardiff City
wins
Draws Derby County
wins
Cardiff City
goals
Derby County
goals
Cardiff City
SR%
Derby County
SR%
 TOTAL 65 29 18 18 106 92 58.5% 41.5%
 HOME 32 18 9 5 55 33 70.3% 29.7%
 AWAY 33 11 9 13 51 59 47.0% 53.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
14 JUL 2020 LGE Cardiff City  
(3889)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3879)
8.6
13 SEP 2019 LGE Derby County  
(3882)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3887)
1
24 APR 2018 LGE Derby County  
(3859)  
3 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3956)
17.5
30 SEP 2017 LGE Cardiff City  
(3901)  
0 - 0   Derby County
  (3846)
2.6
14 FEB 2017 LGE Derby County  
(3903)  
3 - 4   Cardiff City
  (3820)
13.3
27 SEP 2016 LGE Cardiff City  
(3790)  
0 - 2   Derby County
  (3843)
14.3
2 APR 2016 LGE Cardiff City  
(3866)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3896)
9.8
21 NOV 2015 LGE Derby County  
(3928)  
2 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3853)
10.3
31 JAN 2015 LGE Cardiff City  
(3807)  
0 - 2   Derby County
  (3975)
9.7
20 SEP 2014 LGE Derby County  
(3953)  
2 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3840)
4.1
5 MAR 2013 LGE Cardiff City  
(3922)  
1 - 1   Derby County
  (3798)
4.5
27 NOV 2012 LGE Derby County  
(3811)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3911)
1.6
17 APR 2012 LGE Cardiff City  
(3884)  
2 - 0   Derby County
  (3787)
9.2
2 NOV 2011 LGE Derby County  
(3775)  
0 - 3   Cardiff City
  (3889)
14.1
2 APR 2011 LGE Cardiff City  
(3872)  
4 - 1   Derby County
  (3744)
9.5
14 AUG 2010 LGE Derby County  
(3794)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3871)
9.1
2 MAY 2010 LGE Derby County  
(3773)  
2 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3900)
18.5
29 SEP 2009 LGE Cardiff City  
(3847)  
6 - 1   Derby County
  (3746)
12.1
8 APR 2009 LGE Cardiff City   
(3891)  
4 - 1   Derby County
  (3805)
11.1
20 SEP 2008 LGE Derby County   
(3734)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3863)
2.3
17 MAR 2007 LGE Derby County  
(3849)  
3 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3836)
12.2
28 OCT 2006 LGE Cardiff City  
(3863)  
2 - 2   Derby County
  (3770)
3.9
17 DEC 2005 LGE Cardiff City  
(3826)  
0 - 0   Derby County
  (3797)
2.4
20 AUG 2005 LGE Derby County  
(3854)  
2 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3786)
6.6
1 JAN 2005 LGE Derby County  
(3801)  
0 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3748)
13.1
18 SEP 2004 LGE Cardiff City  
(3745)  
0 - 2   Derby County
  (3741)
17.7
7 FEB 2004 LGE Derby County  
(3718)  
2 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3778)
0
25 AUG 2003 LGE Cardiff City  
(3739)  
4 - 1   Derby County
  (3696)
12.5
1 MAR 1986 LGE Derby County  
(3808)  
2 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3554)
2.4
28 SEP 1985 LGE Cardiff City  
(3606)  
0 - 2   Derby County
  (3691)
15.2
23 APR 1984 LGE Cardiff City  
(3723)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3695)
6.7
27 DEC 1983 LGE Derby County  
(3724)  
2 - 3   Cardiff City
  (3726)
12.6
1 MAY 1982 LGE Derby County  
(3749)  
0 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3688)
4.3
4 DEC 1981 LGE Cardiff City  
(3711)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3773)
9
2 MAY 1981 LGE Cardiff City  
(3706)  
0 - 0   Derby County
  (3829)
0.7
29 NOV 1980 LGE Derby County  
(3854)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3739)
5.5
1 FEB 1969 LGE Derby County  
(3865)  
2 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3840)
9.6
16 NOV 1968 LGE Cardiff City  
(3764)  
1 - 1   Derby County
  (3854)
0.4
3 FEB 1968 LGE Derby County  
(3762)  
3 - 4   Cardiff City
  (3743)
13.4
23 SEP 1967 LGE Cardiff City  
(3736)  
1 - 5   Derby County
  (3811)
20.3
11 FEB 1967 LGE Derby County  
(3750)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3691)
4.4
1 OCT 1966 LGE Cardiff City  
(3643)  
1 - 1   Derby County
  (3761)
0.4
1 SEP 1965 LGE Derby County  
(3721)  
1 - 5   Cardiff City
  (3781)
21.1
25 AUG 1965 LGE Cardiff City  
(3783)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3740)
6
20 FEB 1965 LGE Derby County  
(3801)  
1 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3747)
5.8
10 OCT 1964 LGE Cardiff City  
(3703)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3788)
9.5
4 APR 1964 LGE Cardiff City  
(3744)  
2 - 1   Derby County
  (3751)
7.3
23 NOV 1963 LGE Derby County  
(3761)  
2 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3792)
8
22 DEC 1962 LGE Cardiff City  
(3847)  
1 - 0   Derby County
  (3716)
4.1
25 AUG 1962 LGE Derby County  
(3757)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3830)
10.9
16 SEP 1959 LGE Cardiff City  
(3845)  
2 - 0   Derby County
  (3800)
9
9 SEP 1959 LGE Derby County  
(3790)  
1 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3824)
12
21 MAR 1959 LGE Cardiff City  
(3829)  
0 - 0   Derby County
  (3823)
3.1
1 NOV 1958 LGE Derby County  
(3722)  
1 - 3   Cardiff City
  (3785)
16.8
5 APR 1958 LGE Derby County  
(3727)  
0 - 2   Cardiff City
  (3800)
16.4
12 OCT 1957 LGE Cardiff City  
(3789)  
3 - 2   Derby County
  (3703)
5
14 MAR 1953 LGE Cardiff City  
(3933)  
2 - 0   Derby County
  (3890)
9.2
25 OCT 1952 LGE Derby County  
(3896)  
1 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3884)
3.1
12 FEB 1949 CUP Derby County  
(4082)  
2 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3820)
2.2
19 JAN 1929 LGE Cardiff City  
(3904)  
3 - 0   Derby County
  (4004)
16.1
8 SEP 1928 LGE Derby County  
(4012)  
2 - 0   Cardiff City
  (3977)
8.4
31 MAR 1928 LGE Derby County  
(3968)  
7 - 1   Cardiff City
  (3997)
15.3
19 NOV 1927 LGE Cardiff City  
(4003)  
4 - 4   Derby County
  (3911)
5.6
16 MAR 1927 LGE Cardiff City  
(3987)  
2 - 0   Derby County
  (3913)
7.2
2 OCT 1926 LGE Derby County  
(3875)  
6 - 3   Cardiff City
  (3926)
13.8