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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

ASHINGTON vs. NELSON
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Ashington vs. Nelson.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Ashington
(ELO score: 3341)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Nelson
(ELO score: 3299)
TOTAL 1 0 0
Away 1 0 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
28 AUG 2010 CONF Eastbourne Borough  
(3299)  
2 - 3   AFC Wimbledon
  (3341)
10.1

 

A historical comparison of Ashington's and Nelson's ELO scores.


  Ashington   Nelson  
  Current ELO Score: 3340.7   3298.5  
  Best ELO Score: 3597.4  
Saturday, October 24, 1925  
3706.6  
Saturday, March 7, 1925  
  Worst ELO Score: 3357.7  
Saturday, April 27, 1929  
3325.8  
Saturday, May 2, 1931  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Ashington and Nelson.

 Venue Played Ashington
wins
Draws Nelson
wins
Ashington
goals
Nelson
goals
Ashington
SR%
Nelson
SR%
 TOTAL 15 8 3 4 33 26 63.3% 36.7%
 HOME 8 5 2 1 21 9 75.0% 25.0%
 AWAY 7 3 1 3 12 17 50.0% 50.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
1 JAN 1929 LGE Ashington  
(3420)  
3 - 2   Nelson
  (3475)
7.9
8 DEC 1928 LGE Nelson  
(3440)  
5 - 0   Ashington
  (3456)
13.7
14 APR 1928 LGE Ashington  
(3474)  
5 - 1   Nelson
  (3436)
10.4
3 DEC 1927 LGE Nelson  
(3513)  
1 - 5   Ashington
  (3428)
29
23 MAR 1927 LGE Ashington  
(3500)  
1 - 1   Nelson
  (3657)
0.9
11 DEC 1926 CUP Ashington  
(3562)  
2 - 1   Nelson
  (3661)
9.2
13 SEP 1926 LGE Nelson  
(3568)  
4 - 0   Ashington
  (3577)
12.6
15 SEP 1925 LGE Nelson  
(3613)  
2 - 2   Ashington
  (3593)
3.9
31 AUG 1925 LGE Ashington  
(3550)  
5 - 1   Nelson
  (3651)
17.6
3 JAN 1925 LGE Ashington  
(3542)  
1 - 1   Nelson
  (3654)
0.2
6 SEP 1924 LGE Nelson  
(3649)  
4 - 0   Ashington
  (3553)
8.4
14 OCT 1922 LGE Ashington  
(3587)  
0 - 2   Nelson
  (3516)
22.3
7 OCT 1922 LGE Nelson  
(3534)  
1 - 3   Ashington
  (3569)
18.4
14 JAN 1922 LGE Nelson  
(3539)  
0 - 2   Ashington
  (3523)
20.4
31 DEC 1921 LGE Ashington  
(3515)  
4 - 0   Nelson
  (3539)
14