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Ever wanted to know how the Town's promotion winning team of 1993 would fare against the League Cup winners of 1969, or if Lou Macari's all conquering side of 1986 would beat the Southern League champions in the 1910's? This page shows the hypothetical likelihood of a result if two historical STFC sides were to play each others, based on their ELO scores.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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SWINDON TOWN (1993) vs. SWINDON TOWN (1969)

 

The likelihood of the match result between the two selected historical STFC sides, based on all matches with the same ELO score difference.

A graphical comparison of the progression of ELO scores for the twelve months before and after the selected dates for each chosen STFC side. The grey line denotes the dates being compared.


Lineups
1
Fraser DIGBY
                 
Peter DOWNSBOROUGH
1
2
Nicky SUMMERBEE
                 
  Rod THOMAS
2
3
Paul BODIN 
                 
John TROLLOPE
3
4
Glenn HODDLE 
                 
Joe BUTLER
4
5
Colin CALDERWOOD 
                 
Frank BURROWS
5
6
Shaun TAYLOR
                 
Stan HARLAND
6
7
John MONCUR
                 
Don HEATH
7

8
Ross MACLAREN
                 
Roger SMART
8

9
David MITCHELL 
                 
John SMITH
9
10
Martin LING
                 
Peter NOBLE
10
11
Craig MASKELL
                 
Don ROGERS
11


 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (1993) in 1993 vs. Swindon Town (1969) in 1969.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Swindon Town (1993)
(ELO score: 3843)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Swindon Town (1969)
(ELO score: 3779)
TOTAL 2 1 0
Home 2 0 0
Away 0 1 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
17 NOV 1979 LGE Sunderland  
(3843)  
3 - 1   Notts County
  (3779)
8.3
1 DEC 1973 LGE Fulham  
(3779)  
0 - 0   Hull City
  (3843)
1.1
9 SEP 1929 LGE Blackpool  
(3843)  
5 - 1   Nottingham Forest
  (3779)
9.3