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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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OXFORD UNITED
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Oxford United's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Oxford United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1986 Saturday, November 15, 1986 3988.95  
  1987 Thursday, January 1, 1987 3955.87  
  1985 Saturday, August 24, 1985 3938.26  
  1984 Saturday, November 3, 1984 3927.72  
  1988 Wednesday, January 20, 1988 3895.02  
  1991 Saturday, April 27, 1991 3873.88  
  1996 Saturday, November 16, 1996 3851.78  
  1970 Saturday, October 10, 1970 3836.53  
  1983 Monday, December 26, 1983 3830.26  
  1998 Tuesday, March 17, 1998 3825.77  
  1997 Saturday, January 18, 1997 3823.52  
  1973 Saturday, April 7, 1973 3812.60  
  1971 Monday, January 11, 1971 3804.55  
  1990 Tuesday, March 6, 1990 3799.31  
  1993 Saturday, February 6, 1993 3796.32  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Oxford United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2008 Saturday, March 8, 2008 3339.16  
  2007 Thursday, November 1, 2007 3393.55  
  2009 Thursday, January 1, 2009 3395.90  
  2002 Saturday, April 20, 2002 3407.13  
  2006 Saturday, March 11, 2006 3413.41  
  2001 Tuesday, November 20, 2001 3428.60  
  1963 Saturday, April 6, 1963 3435.41  
  2004 Saturday, November 20, 2004 3438.73  
  2005 Saturday, November 26, 2005 3450.80  
  2014 Saturday, August 23, 2014 3452.53  
  1964 Wednesday, April 29, 1964 3458.26  
  1962 Saturday, October 13, 1962 3468.58  
  2010 Saturday, November 20, 2010 3469.66  
  2015 Saturday, January 24, 2015 3471.88  
  2012 Monday, October 15, 2012 3473.06  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Oxford United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Oxford United (3531) vs. Blackburn Rovers (4066)
  Saturday, February 15, 1964
-432.1 7.7% 3-1 +27.7 
  Oxford United (3197) vs. Millwall (3673)
  Thursday, December 17, 1953
-370.6 10.6% 1-0 +17.9 
  Oxford United (3671) vs. West Ham United (4081)
  Wednesday, September 25, 2019
-371.0 10.6% 4-0 +16.8 
  Oxford United (3224) vs. Stockport County (3598)
  Thursday, January 14, 1954
-268.0 17.6% 1-0 +16.5 
  Oxford United (3626) vs. Swansea City (3993)
  Sunday, January 10, 2016
-329.4 13.1% 3-2 +8.7 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers (3886) vs. Oxford United (3542)
  Tuesday, August 22, 2000
-409.6 8.6% 0-1 +9.1 
  Oxford United (3675) vs. Newcastle United (4010)
  Saturday, January 28, 2017
-298.8 15.2% 3-0 +14.8 
  Brentford (3860) vs. Oxford United (3532)
  Tuesday, August 11, 2015
-366.1 10.8% 0-4 +16.7 
  Millwall (3832) vs. Oxford United (3512)
  Tuesday, August 12, 2003
-378.8 10.2% 0-1 +9.0 
  Leeds United (4006) vs. Oxford United (3694)
  Wednesday, February 9, 1994
-385.2 9.8% 2-3 +9.0 
  Oxford United (3448) vs. Rotherham United (3753)
  Saturday, March 24, 2001
-239.0 20.2% 4-3 +16.0 
  Oxford United (3811) vs. Manchester United (4100)
  Monday, December 19, 1983
-196.3 24.4% 2-1 +15.1 
  Everton (3975) vs. Oxford United (3693)
  Wednesday, September 22, 1999
-349.5 11.8% 0-1 +8.8 
  Brighton and Hove Albion (3947) vs. Oxford United (3680)
  Saturday, January 23, 1982
-365.3 10.9% 0-3 +31.2 
  Bristol City (3679) vs. Oxford United (3412)
  Tuesday, September 10, 2002
-330.7 13.0% 0-1 +8.7 
  Oxford United (3566) vs. Wrexham (3830)
  Wednesday, March 1, 1978
-159.8 28.5% 2-1 +14.3 
  Oxford United (3476) vs. Walsall (3737)
  Saturday, January 13, 2001
-195.1 24.5% 2-1 +15.1 
  Oxford United (3941) vs. Everton (4198)
  Wednesday, April 30, 1986
-165.8 27.8% 1-0 +14.4 
  Oxford United (3621) vs. Queens Park Rangers (3874)
  Saturday, May 13, 1967
-149.5 29.7% 2-1 +14.1 
  Bristol City (3715) vs. Oxford United (3470)
  Tuesday, August 12, 2014
-285.3 16.2% 1-2 +8.4 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Oxford United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Marlow (3106) vs. Oxford United (3781)
  Saturday, November 12, 1994
+604.6 97.0% 2-0 -14.6 
  Barking (3100) vs. Oxford United (3628)
  Saturday, November 24, 1979
+424.6 92.0% 1-0 -18.4 
  Aldershot (3456) vs. Oxford United (3946)
  Saturday, January 10, 1987
+402.5 91.0% 3-0 -31.9 
  Chelmsford City (3196) vs. Oxford United (3657)
  Monday, December 18, 1967
+356.6 88.6% 1-0 -17.7 
  Oxford United (3630) vs. Kettering Town (3252)
  Tuesday, November 23, 1976
+481.8 94.1% 0-1 -18.8 
  Nuneaton Borough (3252) vs. Oxford United (3619)
  Saturday, November 26, 1977
+262.4 81.9% 2-0 -24.6 
  Chester City (3476) vs. Oxford United (3787)
  Saturday, October 1, 1994
+241.3 80.0% 2-0 -24.0 
  Exeter City (3529) vs. Oxford United (3825)
  Monday, January 2, 1984
+203.3 76.3% 3-1 -22.9 
  Bedford Town (3295) vs. Oxford United (3585)
  Monday, January 16, 1967
+186.3 74.5% 1-0 -14.9 
  Oxford United (3722) vs. Cheltenham Town (3440)
  Tuesday, August 8, 2017
+320.4 86.3% 3-4 -8.6 
  Droylsden (3155) vs. Oxford United (3436)
  Saturday, October 6, 2007
+231.7 79.1% 3-1 -23.7 
  Oxford United (3525) vs. Tamworth (3260)
  Saturday, January 16, 2010
+310.0 85.6% 0-1 -17.1 
  Torquay United (3491) vs. Oxford United (3750)
  Wednesday, January 12, 1983
+167.2 72.4% 2-1 -14.5 
  Cambridge United (3462) vs. Oxford United (3715)
  Tuesday, August 17, 1976
+149.8 70.3% 2-0 -21.1 
  Oxford United (3522) vs. Hayes and Yeading United (3274)
  Tuesday, March 9, 2010
+292.5 84.3% 1-2 -16.9 
  Barrow (3301) vs. Oxford United (3542)
  Tuesday, December 8, 2009
+195.5 75.5% 3-1 -11.3 
  Milton Keynes Dons (3505) vs. Oxford United (3743)
  Saturday, December 14, 2019
+199.0 75.9% 1-0 -15.2 
  Northwich Victoria (3179) vs. Oxford United (3412)
  Saturday, December 8, 2007
+183.9 74.2% 1-0 -14.8 
  Eastbourne Borough (3268) vs. Oxford United (3500)
  Saturday, April 24, 2010
+186.9 74.6% 1-0 -14.9 
  Oxford United (3498) vs. Northwich Victoria (3267)
  Sunday, April 26, 2009
+279.2 83.3% 1-2 -16.7 
 
   

The twenty teams that Oxford United are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Barnet 11 +4.90 
  Walsall 35 +4.17 
  Stoke City 18 +3.84 
  Morecambe 15 +3.34 
  AFC Wimbledon 34 +3.27 
  Stevenage 14 +3.20 
  Dagenham and Redbridge 12 +3.06 
  Bristol City 40 +2.71 
  Everton 11 +2.70 
  Stockport County 22 +2.61 
  Accrington Stanley 19 +2.34 
  Mansfield Town 36 +2.25 
  Tranmere Rovers 37 +2.20 
  Reading 34 +2.08 
  Newcastle United 20 +2.02 
  Manchester United 16 +1.95 
  Chester 26 +1.74 
  Preston North End 25 +1.73 
  Notts County 28 +1.72 
  Chelsea 15 +1.57 

The twenty teams that Oxford United are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Fleetwood Town 11 -11.04 
  Crystal Palace 16 -4.85 
  Aldershot Town 20 -3.62 
  Exeter City 39 -3.43 
  Watford 38 -2.75 
  Middlesbrough 27 -2.38 
  Brentford 33 -2.37 
  West Bromwich Albion 23 -2.20 
  Macclesfield Town 17 -2.15 
  Wrexham 25 -2.12 
  Southampton 15 -1.99 
  Scunthorpe United 26 -1.80 
  Charlton Athletic 43 -1.75 
  Sunderland 35 -1.73 
  Bristol Rovers 56 -1.64 
  Leyton Orient 34 -1.61 
  Huddersfield Town 26 -1.54 
  Darlington 1883 18 -1.53 
  Oldham Athletic 32 -1.46 
  Coventry City 13 -1.41