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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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NELSON
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Nelson's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Nelson sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1925 Saturday, March 7, 1925 3706.62  
  1927 Saturday, February 12, 1927 3686.78  
  1926 Saturday, January 2, 1926 3668.02  
  1924 Tuesday, September 9, 1924 3665.91  
  1923 Tuesday, December 25, 1923 3662.93  
  1921 Saturday, September 24, 1921 3595.09  
  1922 Saturday, December 30, 1922 3587.22  
  1929 Saturday, November 23, 1929 3533.84  
  1930 Saturday, February 22, 1930 3527.89  
  1928 Saturday, December 15, 1928 3480.83  
  1931 Saturday, February 14, 1931 3395.14  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Nelson sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1931 Saturday, May 2, 1931 3325.85  
  1930 Thursday, December 18, 1930 3373.12  
  1928 Saturday, October 20, 1928 3403.49  
  1927 Saturday, December 31, 1927 3458.83  
  1929 Saturday, January 19, 1929 3461.03  
  1922 Friday, April 14, 1922 3481.35  
  1921 Saturday, December 31, 1921 3525.30  
  1926 Saturday, August 28, 1926 3563.68  
  1923 Saturday, January 6, 1923 3571.47  
  1925 Saturday, October 3, 1925 3602.98  
  1924 Saturday, March 1, 1924 3605.28  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Nelson's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Nelson (3461) vs. Stockport County (3720)
  Tuesday, January 22, 1929
-130.5 32.1% 4-1 +23.8 
  Bradford City (3712) vs. Nelson (3454)
  Saturday, December 15, 1928
-387.6 9.7% 0-2 +27.1 
  Nelson (3373) vs. Wrexham (3624)
  Saturday, December 20, 1930
-120.5 33.3% 2-0 +20.0 
  Nelson (3482) vs. Bradford Park Avenue (3730)
  Saturday, September 2, 1922
-133.1 31.7% 1-0 +13.7 
  Nelson (3425) vs. Darlington (3669)
  Saturday, April 7, 1928
-114.7 34.1% 4-0 +24.7 
  Nelson (3638) vs. Leeds United (3882)
  Saturday, May 3, 1924
-127.4 32.4% 3-1 +20.3 
  Nelson (3416) vs. South Shields (1889) (3655)
  Wednesday, September 12, 1928
-110.5 34.6% 1-0 +13.1 
  Nelson (3616) vs. Stoke (3838)
  Saturday, September 29, 1923
-105.6 35.3% 2-0 +19.4 
  Nelson (3412) vs. Darlington (3621)
  Saturday, September 6, 1930
-79.1 38.8% 3-1 +18.4 
  Manchester United (3806) vs. Nelson (3605)
  Saturday, March 8, 1924
-316.3 13.9% 0-1 +17.2 
  Nelson (3449) vs. Rochdale (3646)
  Saturday, January 7, 1928
-68.4 40.3% 6-3 +20.9 
  Nelson (3652) vs. Oldham Athletic (3848)
  Saturday, January 19, 1924
-80.9 38.6% 2-1 +12.3 
  Nelson (3410) vs. Darlington (3596)
  Saturday, September 1, 1928
-56.6 41.9% 2-1 +11.6 
  Nelson (3347) vs. Wigan Borough (3522)
  Friday, April 3, 1931
-44.3 43.7% 2-1 +11.3 
  Nelson (3379) vs. Doncaster Rovers (3534)
  Saturday, February 14, 1931
-25.3 46.4% 2-0 +16.1 
  Nelson (3652) vs. Derby County (3807)
  Tuesday, December 25, 1923
-39.2 44.4% 2-1 +11.1 
  Halifax Town (3561) vs. Nelson (3424)
  Saturday, December 1, 1928
-266.6 17.7% 1-2 +16.5 
  New Brighton (3578) vs. Nelson (3445)
  Saturday, September 22, 1928
-261.4 18.2% 0-1 +16.4 
  Nelson (3629) vs. Barnsley (3758)
  Saturday, March 22, 1924
-12.8 48.2% 4-3 +10.4 
  Nelson (3445) vs. Wrexham (3570)
  Saturday, February 11, 1928
+3.5 50.5% 4-0 +18.6 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Nelson's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Rotherham County (3414) vs. Nelson (3678)
  Saturday, April 25, 1925
+145.1 69.7% 1-0 -13.9 
  Barrow (3316) vs. Nelson (3573)
  Thursday, September 29, 1927
+127.3 67.5% 3-1 -20.3 
  Walsall (3473) vs. Nelson (3687)
  Saturday, February 19, 1927
+87.5 62.3% 4-1 -21.8 
  Barrow (3445) vs. Nelson (3658)
  Saturday, September 20, 1924
+93.6 63.1% 3-0 -22.1 
  Grimsby Town (3504) vs. Nelson (3707)
  Saturday, March 14, 1925
+83.5 61.8% 2-0 -18.5 
  Wrexham (3466) vs. Nelson (3660)
  Saturday, February 6, 1926
+72.5 60.3% 3-2 -12.1 
  Barrow (3428) vs. Nelson (3621)
  Monday, September 28, 1925
+71.5 60.2% 1-0 -12.0 
  Crewe Alexandra (3517) vs. Nelson (3702)
  Friday, April 10, 1925
+65.7 59.3% 2-1 -11.9 
  Nelson (3698) vs. Wrexham (3520)
  Saturday, April 18, 1925
+297.4 84.7% 2-4 -25.4 
  Hartlepools United (3479) vs. Nelson (3651)
  Saturday, November 20, 1926
+45.9 56.6% 3-2 -11.3 
  Durham City (3500) vs. Nelson (3664)
  Wednesday, April 29, 1925
+45.0 56.4% 3-1 -16.9 
  Witton Albion (3164) vs. Nelson (3318)
  Saturday, November 21, 1953
+48.6 57.0% 4-1 -19.9 
  Accrington Stanley (3506) vs. Nelson (3658)
  Saturday, February 20, 1926
+30.4 54.4% 3-2 -10.9 
  Crewe Alexandra (3508) vs. Nelson (3658)
  Saturday, April 2, 1927
+23.9 53.4% 2-1 -10.7 
  Lincoln City (3548) vs. Nelson (3688)
  Wednesday, March 18, 1925
+20.4 52.9% 2-1 -10.6 
  Doncaster Rovers (3548) vs. Nelson (3685)
  Saturday, January 22, 1927
+11.2 51.6% 6-0 -21.9 
  Hartlepools United (3521) vs. Nelson (3655)
  Saturday, March 6, 1926
+13.0 51.9% 2-0 -15.6 
  Southport (3531) vs. Nelson (3664)
  Saturday, January 23, 1926
+10.7 51.5% 2-1 -10.3 
  Wigan Borough (3520) vs. Nelson (3652)
  Wednesday, December 2, 1925
+9.6 51.4% 3-0 -18.0 
  Accrington Stanley (3553) vs. Nelson (3666)
  Saturday, September 13, 1924
-6.5 49.1% 2-0 -14.7 
 
   

The twenty teams that Nelson are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Darlington 1883 14 +3.55 
  Rochdale 18 +2.73 
  Rotherham United 12 +2.38 
  FC Halifax Town 18 +2.00 
  Southport 20 +1.15 
  Hartlepool United 18 +0.38 
  Doncaster Rovers 14 +0.02 
  Stockport County 15 -0.32 
  Lincoln City 18 -0.64 
  Wrexham 18 -0.75 
  Chesterfield 18 -0.77 
  Bradford Park Avenue 11 -0.90 
  Durham City 12 -1.02 
  Tranmere Rovers 18 -1.35 
  New Brighton 14 -1.47 
  Crewe Alexandra 19 -2.41 
  Accrington Stanley 18 -2.66 
  Wigan Borough 19 -2.80 
  Barrow 18 -3.61 
  Ashington 15 -4.96 

The twenty teams that Nelson are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Ashington 15 -4.96 
  Barrow 18 -3.61 
  Wigan Borough 19 -2.80 
  Accrington Stanley 18 -2.66 
  Crewe Alexandra 19 -2.41 
  New Brighton 14 -1.47 
  Tranmere Rovers 18 -1.35 
  Durham City 12 -1.02 
  Bradford Park Avenue 11 -0.90 
  Chesterfield 18 -0.77 
  Wrexham 18 -0.75 
  Lincoln City 18 -0.64 
  Stockport County 15 -0.32 
  Doncaster Rovers 14 +0.02 
  Hartlepool United 18 +0.38 
  Southport 20 +1.15 
  FC Halifax Town 18 +2.00 
  Rotherham United 12 +2.38 
  Rochdale 18 +2.73 
  Darlington 1883 14 +3.55