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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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MILLWALL
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Millwall's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Millwall sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1989 Saturday, March 25, 1989 3991.49  
  1988 Saturday, November 26, 1988 3956.94  
  1971 Saturday, November 20, 1971 3919.45  
  2004 Sunday, April 4, 2004 3907.11  
  2018 Tuesday, April 10, 2018 3906.34  
  1972 Saturday, August 19, 1972 3902.23  
  1973 Friday, March 2, 1973 3901.82  
  1990 Saturday, January 20, 1990 3901.52  
  1968 Saturday, November 16, 1968 3901.22  
  2002 Tuesday, January 15, 2002 3897.84  
  2012 Tuesday, November 27, 2012 3896.38  
  2020 Wednesday, October 28, 2020 3893.72  
  2023 Tuesday, March 14, 2023 3892.76  
  2022 Saturday, July 30, 2022 3882.32  
  1993 Wednesday, January 27, 1993 3879.41  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Millwall sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1958 Monday, September 8, 1958 3417.55  
  1960 Monday, September 26, 1960 3461.27  
  1959 Monday, March 30, 1959 3469.89  
  1955 Tuesday, December 27, 1955 3471.54  
  1956 Saturday, March 10, 1956 3471.62  
  1961 Saturday, February 4, 1961 3480.24  
  1957 Saturday, December 28, 1957 3492.01  
  1963 Wednesday, November 27, 1963 3506.54  
  1983 Saturday, March 19, 1983 3516.11  
  1949 Saturday, November 26, 1949 3528.59  
  1950 Saturday, March 25, 1950 3531.45  
  1982 Sunday, December 26, 1982 3531.55  
  1980 Saturday, December 13, 1980 3538.88  
  1964 Friday, January 3, 1964 3543.58  
  1962 Wednesday, February 14, 1962 3547.74  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Millwall's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Millwall Athletic (3761) vs. Aston Villa (4151)
  Monday, March 5, 1900
-260.0 18.3% 2-1 +16.3 
  Millwall (3599) vs. Newcastle United (3988)
  Saturday, January 26, 1957
-281.0 16.6% 2-1 +16.7 
  Millwall (3621) vs. West Bromwich Albion (3976)
  Tuesday, October 4, 1983
-262.7 18.1% 3-0 +28.7 
  Millwall (3734) vs. Manchester City (4087)
  Saturday, March 6, 1937
-219.7 22.0% 2-0 +23.4 
  Millwall (3701) vs. Derby County (4037)
  Saturday, February 20, 1937
-204.1 23.6% 2-1 +15.3 
  Millwall Athletic (3726) vs. Everton (4056)
  Saturday, March 7, 1903
-192.2 24.8% 1-0 +15.0 
  Millwall (3701) vs. Bradford City (4014)
  Saturday, January 31, 1914
-192.0 24.9% 1-0 +15.0 
  Millwall (3770) vs. Huddersfield Town (4076)
  Saturday, January 8, 1927
-179.8 26.2% 3-1 +22.1 
  Millwall (3680) vs. Chelsea (3977)
  Saturday, January 30, 1937
-164.5 28.0% 3-0 +25.2 
  Chelsea (4002) vs. Millwall (3714)
  Monday, February 4, 1985
-380.8 10.0% 2-3 +18.0 
  Millwall (3719) vs. Bury (4004)
  Wednesday, February 3, 1926
-163.7 28.0% 2-0 +21.6 
  Millwall (3717) vs. AFC Bournemouth (3999)
  Saturday, January 7, 2017
-245.9 19.5% 3-0 +14.1 
  Wigan Athletic (3977) vs. Millwall (3696)
  Tuesday, April 8, 2014
-321.1 13.6% 0-1 +17.3 
  Millwall (3600) vs. Fulham (3877)
  Monday, January 11, 1965
-174.1 26.8% 2-0 +21.9 
  Millwall (3760) vs. Leicester City (4036)
  Saturday, February 18, 2017
-240.2 20.1% 1-0 +12.0 
  Millwall (3499) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (3764)
  Saturday, September 22, 1956
-157.1 28.8% 4-3 +14.2 
  Millwall (3511) vs. Leyton Orient (3765)
  Monday, April 30, 1956
-147.0 30.0% 5-0 +28.0 
  Millwall (3713) vs. Ipswich Town (3966)
  Tuesday, September 19, 2000
-187.0 25.4% 2-0 +11.2 
  Chelsea (3938) vs. Millwall (3686)
  Wednesday, January 14, 1914
-373.7 10.4% 0-1 +17.9 
  Newcastle United (3998) vs. Millwall (3746)
  Wednesday, August 31, 1977
-356.7 11.4% 0-2 +26.6 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Millwall's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Millwall (3708) vs. Lincoln City (3175)
  Saturday, January 8, 1921
+649.4 97.7% 0-3 -34.2 
  Hereford United (3270) vs. Millwall (3747)
  Saturday, December 4, 1965
+373.1 89.5% 1-0 -17.9 
  Oxford United (3197) vs. Millwall (3673)
  Thursday, December 17, 1953
+370.6 89.4% 1-0 -17.9 
  Slough Town (3108) vs. Millwall (3577)
  Saturday, November 20, 1982
+378.0 89.8% 1-0 -18.0 
  Norwich City (3527) vs. Millwall (3874)
  Monday, April 30, 1928
+218.6 77.9% 2-0 -23.4 
  Cambridge United (3558) vs. Millwall (3893)
  Tuesday, January 30, 1990
+257.7 81.5% 1-0 -16.3 
  Scunthorpe United (3493) vs. Millwall (3824)
  Tuesday, January 8, 1974
+229.0 78.9% 1-0 -15.8 
  Millwall (3832) vs. Oxford United (3512)
  Tuesday, August 12, 2003
+378.8 89.8% 0-1 -9.0 
  Swindon Town (3391) vs. Millwall Athletic (3710)
  Saturday, September 6, 1902
+181.4 74.0% 3-2 -14.8 
  Millwall (3528) vs. Kettering Town (3210)
  Monday, November 25, 1963
+421.3 91.9% 2-3 -18.4 
  Worcester City (3185) vs. Millwall (3502)
  Saturday, December 6, 1958
+211.8 77.2% 5-2 -27.0 
  Sheppey United (3521) vs. Millwall Athletic (3832)
  Saturday, March 20, 1897
+173.6 73.1% 4-1 -25.6 
  Bath City (3240) vs. Millwall (3545)
  Saturday, November 14, 1959
+202.5 76.2% 3-1 -22.9 
  Millwall Athletic (3874) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3577)
  Friday, December 25, 1896
+433.5 92.4% 0-4 -34.6 
  Northampton Town (3429) vs. Millwall (3718)
  Monday, August 13, 1979
+185.4 74.4% 2-1 -14.9 
  Millwall Athletic (3828) vs. Bristol City (3547)
  Saturday, September 18, 1897
+412.4 91.5% 2-6 -34.3 
  Preston North End (3516) vs. Millwall (3795)
  Saturday, April 13, 1985
+185.9 74.5% 2-1 -14.9 
  Darlington (3532) vs. Millwall (3810)
  Tuesday, October 31, 1967
+173.1 73.0% 2-0 -21.9 
  Cardiff City (3526) vs. Millwall (3795)
  Monday, January 26, 1987
+181.4 74.0% 1-0 -14.8 
  Gillingham (3547) vs. Millwall (3813)
  Saturday, April 23, 1927
+140.1 69.1% 2-1 -13.8 
 
   

The twenty teams that Millwall are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Aberdare Town 12 +5.48 
  Chelsea 17 +5.18 
  Newcastle United 19 +5.07 
  Charlton Athletic 74 +4.00 
  Everton 13 +3.69 
  West Bromwich Albion 46 +2.57 
  Stockport County 16 +2.41 
  Chester 20 +2.29 
  Wigan Athletic 34 +2.18 
  Bradford City 46 +2.14 
  Nottingham Forest 75 +2.06 
  Notts County 56 +1.95 
  Arsenal 12 +1.82 
  Queens Park Rangers 118 +1.63 
  Oldham Athletic 66 +1.58 
  Barrow 12 +1.31 
  Luton Town 119 +1.23 
  Derby County 62 +1.22 
  Preston North End 75 +1.13 
  Carlisle United 46 +1.11 

The twenty teams that Millwall are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Southport 11 -8.08 
  Manchester United 14 -6.01 
  Tottenham Hotspur 51 -3.87 
  Scunthorpe United 25 -3.74 
  Crewe Alexandra 33 -3.15 
  Blackburn Rovers 52 -3.15 
  Bradford Park Avenue 33 -2.88 
  Tranmere Rovers 27 -2.67 
  Port Vale 50 -2.10 
  Bristol Rovers 116 -2.00 
  Leyton 12 -1.97 
  Wrexham 26 -1.86 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers 43 -1.77 
  Wycombe Wanderers 19 -1.56 
  Sunderland 41 -1.55 
  Bury 43 -1.54 
  Fulham 57 -1.48 
  Birmingham City 57 -1.42 
  Barnsley 64 -1.40 
  Yeovil Town 14 -1.34