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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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MANCHESTER UNITED
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Manchester United's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2013 Saturday, March 2, 2013 4331.65  
  2009 Saturday, March 7, 2009 4328.66  
  2007 Saturday, March 31, 2007 4317.26  
  2008 Saturday, March 29, 2008 4309.43  
  2012 Saturday, December 29, 2012 4305.83  
  2010 Monday, August 16, 2010 4303.12  
  2011 Tuesday, September 20, 2011 4301.51  
  2006 Saturday, December 9, 2006 4299.44  
  2001 Sunday, February 25, 2001 4285.60  
  2000 Saturday, November 25, 2000 4285.47  
  2005 Saturday, March 19, 2005 4283.80  
  2003 Saturday, October 18, 2003 4278.14  
  2004 Wednesday, January 7, 2004 4274.04  
  1999 Saturday, September 11, 1999 4251.55  
  2017 Thursday, April 27, 2017 4239.11  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1934 Friday, March 30, 1934 3688.52  
  1902 Friday, March 28, 1902 3693.69  
  1933 Saturday, December 30, 1933 3738.23  
  1932 Saturday, January 23, 1932 3742.86  
  1903 Saturday, March 7, 1903 3752.05  
  1931 Saturday, November 7, 1931 3767.33  
  1894 Saturday, September 8, 1894 3769.75  
  1896 Monday, March 23, 1896 3769.99  
  1901 Tuesday, April 9, 1901 3770.44  
  1924 Saturday, April 5, 1924 3773.19  
  1930 Saturday, October 25, 1930 3782.91  
  1922 Monday, December 25, 1922 3794.82  
  1897 Saturday, January 9, 1897 3796.59  
  1899 Saturday, April 1, 1899 3799.29  
  1895 Saturday, April 27, 1895 3801.35  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Manchester United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Manchester United (3809) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (4117)
  Wednesday, January 28, 1931
-178.5 26.4% 4-1 +25.8 
  Manchester United (3784) vs. Blackburn Rovers (4068)
  Monday, March 12, 1894
-153.2 29.3% 5-1 +26.5 
  Manchester United (3837) vs. Preston North End (4109)
  Saturday, April 1, 1893
-156.4 28.9% 2-1 +14.2 
  Manchester United (3789) vs. Derby County (4059)
  Saturday, December 13, 1930
-140.0 30.9% 2-1 +13.8 
  Manchester City (4027) vs. Manchester United (3764)
  Friday, April 10, 1903
-401.2 9.0% 0-2 +27.3 
  Manchester United (3927) vs. Liverpool (4181)
  Saturday, November 11, 1972
-153.6 29.2% 2-0 +21.2 
  Manchester United (3768) vs. Liverpool (4007)
  Saturday, February 7, 1903
-101.3 35.8% 2-1 +12.8 
  Manchester United (4010) vs. Liverpool (4233)
  Wednesday, October 31, 1990
-147.1 30.0% 3-1 +21.0 
  Leeds United (4170) vs. Manchester United (3961)
  Wednesday, April 18, 1973
-309.8 14.4% 0-1 +17.1 
  Manchester United (4033) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4240)
  Monday, January 16, 1961
-103.3 35.6% 2-0 +19.3 
  Manchester United (3783) vs. Birmingham City (3974)
  Saturday, November 1, 1930
-61.4 41.3% 2-0 +17.6 
  Manchester United (3991) vs. Ipswich Town (4181)
  Saturday, March 21, 1981
-90.5 37.3% 2-1 +12.5 
  Manchester United (4050) vs. Liverpool (4237)
  Saturday, April 5, 1980
-83.1 38.3% 2-1 +12.3 
  Manchester United (3988) vs. Everton (4170)
  Saturday, August 31, 1963
-78.1 38.9% 5-1 +22.9 
  Manchester United (3998) vs. Liverpool (4177)
  Saturday, September 13, 1969
-73.5 39.6% 1-0 +12.1 
  Manchester United (4022) vs. Arsenal (4198)
  Friday, August 20, 1971
-74.3 39.5% 3-1 +18.2 
  Manchester United (4023) vs. Liverpool (4199)
  Wednesday, April 4, 1979
-175.7 26.7% 1-0 +14.7 
  Manchester United (3934) vs. Blackburn Rovers (4109)
  Saturday, September 19, 1914
-53.9 42.3% 2-0 +17.3 
  Manchester United (3903) vs. Sunderland (4075)
  Friday, January 1, 1937
-39.9 44.3% 2-1 +11.1 
  Manchester United (3792) vs. Stoke (3961)
  Friday, March 23, 1894
-37.7 44.6% 6-2 +20.8 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Manchester United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Southend United (3674) vs. Manchester United (4291)
  Tuesday, November 7, 2006
+560.8 96.2% 1-0 -9.6 
  Derby County (3758) vs. Manchester United (4303)
  Wednesday, January 7, 2009
+494.1 94.5% 1-0 -18.9 
  Manchester United (4180) vs. York City (3651)
  Wednesday, September 20, 1995
+597.7 96.9% 0-3 -17.0 
  Manchester United (4281) vs. Coventry City (3757)
  Wednesday, September 26, 2007
+577.7 96.5% 0-2 -14.5 
  Milton Keynes Dons (3657) vs. Manchester United (4156)
  Tuesday, August 26, 2014
+454.0 93.2% 4-0 -17.5 
  AFC Bournemouth (3591) vs. Manchester United (4085)
  Saturday, January 7, 1984
+401.9 91.0% 2-0 -27.3 
  Norwich City (3594) vs. Manchester United (4063)
  Saturday, January 10, 1959
+364.1 89.1% 3-0 -31.2 
  Manchester United (4276) vs. Crystal Palace (3808)
  Wednesday, November 30, 2011
+517.2 95.2% 1-2 -19.0 
  Manchester United (4281) vs. Leeds United (3866)
  Sunday, January 3, 2010
+463.7 93.5% 0-1 -9.4 
  Norwich City (3871) vs. Manchester United (4276)
  Saturday, April 9, 2005
+344.8 87.9% 2-0 -26.4 
  Burnley (3911) vs. Manchester United (4302)
  Wednesday, August 19, 2009
+342.3 87.8% 1-0 -17.6 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers (3901) vs. Manchester United (4289)
  Saturday, February 5, 2011
+338.8 87.5% 2-1 -17.5 
  Manchester United (3972) vs. Swindon Town (3589)
  Saturday, January 11, 1930
+512.7 95.0% 0-2 -28.5 
  Manchester United (4127) vs. Norwich City (3746)
  Saturday, February 18, 1967
+484.2 94.2% 1-2 -18.8 
  Manchester United (4137) vs. Hull City (3757)
  Saturday, January 12, 1952
+475.3 93.9% 0-2 -28.2 
  Wigan Athletic (3921) vs. Manchester United (4298)
  Wednesday, April 11, 2012
+329.1 86.9% 1-0 -17.4 
  Ipswich Town (3818) vs. Manchester United (4196)
  Saturday, September 24, 1994
+308.3 85.5% 3-2 -17.1 
  Stoke City (3801) vs. Manchester United (4175)
  Wednesday, September 22, 1993
+302.3 85.1% 2-1 -8.5 
  Port Vale (3634) vs. Manchester United (4001)
  Saturday, March 24, 1906
+237.8 79.7% 1-0 -15.9 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers (3902) vs. Manchester United (4268)
  Saturday, January 17, 2004
+306.6 85.4% 1-0 -17.1 
 
   

The twenty teams that Manchester United are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Glossop North End 14 +6.70 
  Millwall 14 +6.01 
  Luton Town 39 +4.74 
  Wigan Athletic 18 +3.29 
  Gainsborough Trinity 20 +2.72 
  Chesterfield 20 +2.58 
  Barnsley 38 +2.35 
  Queens Park Rangers 51 +2.06 
  Port Vale 45 +2.03 
  Brighton and Hove Albion 16 +2.03 
  Charlton Athletic 60 +1.59 
  Crystal Palace 51 +1.56 
  Huddersfield Town 45 +1.53 
  Bradford City 50 +1.43 
  Blackpool 86 +1.37 
  Oldham Athletic 44 +1.25 
  Plymouth Argyle 16 +1.22 
  Leyton Orient 12 +1.12 
  Preston North End 76 +1.02 
  Leeds United 107 +0.96 

The twenty teams that Manchester United are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  AFC Bournemouth 12 -3.55 
  Lincoln City 28 -3.25 
  Swansea City 29 -2.31 
  Oxford United 16 -1.95 
  Burton Swifts 14 -1.56 
  Stoke City 106 -1.51 
  Portsmouth 73 -1.46 
  Stockport County 19 -1.42 
  Manchester City 171 -1.34 
  West Ham United 137 -1.33 
  West Bromwich Albion 130 -1.25 
  Bolton Wanderers 121 -1.23 
  Bradford Park Avenue 22 -0.98 
  Everton 191 -0.95 
  Coventry City 83 -0.81 
  Sunderland 145 -0.74 
  Bristol City 35 -0.63 
  Sheffield United 93 -0.62 
  Middlesbrough 126 -0.56 
  Sheffield Wednesday 124 -0.48