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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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HAYES
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Hayes's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Hayes sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1999 Saturday, May 1, 1999 3482.57  
  1998 Saturday, October 3, 1998 3453.98  
  1997 Saturday, October 4, 1997 3451.57  
  2000 Tuesday, September 5, 2000 3446.39  
  1996 Saturday, August 17, 1996 3382.79  
  2001 Saturday, August 18, 2001 3363.21  
  2002 Saturday, January 5, 2002 3347.93  
  2004 Saturday, August 28, 2004 3128.10  
  2005 Saturday, February 12, 2005 3125.22  
  2006 Monday, January 2, 2006 3079.19  
  2007 Saturday, February 10, 2007 3044.14  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Hayes sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2006 Tuesday, December 26, 2006 2962.26  
  2007 Monday, January 1, 2007 2965.97  
  2005 Saturday, March 12, 2005 3062.08  
  2004 Tuesday, August 17, 2004 3086.78  
  2002 Friday, March 22, 2002 3270.74  
  2001 Saturday, March 10, 2001 3307.29  
  1996 Tuesday, November 26, 1996 3309.92  
  2000 Tuesday, December 26, 2000 3328.59  
  1997 Monday, February 17, 1997 3337.00  
  1998 Monday, December 28, 1998 3388.64  
  1999 Tuesday, January 26, 1999 3389.65  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Hayes's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hayes (3148) vs. Bristol Rovers (3725)
  Saturday, November 18, 1972
-476.5 6.0% 1-0 +18.8 
  Fulham (3584) vs. Hayes (3127)
  Friday, November 15, 1991
-533.0 4.4% 0-2 +28.7 
  Hayes (3110) vs. Cardiff City (3535)
  Wednesday, November 21, 1990
-350.0 11.8% 1-0 +17.6 
  Hayes (3308) vs. Dagenham and Redbridge (3502)
  Saturday, March 31, 2001
-127.9 32.4% 4-1 +23.7 
  Hayes (3335) vs. Woking (3522)
  Thursday, December 26, 1996
-121.8 33.2% 3-2 +13.4 
  Stevenage Borough (3549) vs. Hayes (3368)
  Monday, September 1, 1997
-244.9 19.6% 1-5 +30.1 
  Farnborough Town (3146) vs. Hayes (2978)
  Tuesday, January 23, 2007
-220.0 22.0% 1-3 +23.4 
  Telford United (3431) vs. Hayes (3271)
  Monday, April 1, 2002
-225.6 21.4% 1-2 +15.7 
  Morecambe (3469) vs. Hayes (3310)
  Saturday, December 7, 1996
-224.4 21.6% 2-4 +23.5 
  Braintree Town (3136) vs. Hayes (2980)
  Saturday, November 4, 2006
-208.2 23.2% 0-1 +15.4 
  Woking (3501) vs. Hayes (3362)
  Tuesday, March 25, 1997
-204.5 23.6% 1-2 +15.3 
  Hayes (2992) vs. Histon (3122)
  Saturday, March 11, 2006
-73.7 39.5% 2-1 +12.1 
  Woking (3396) vs. Hayes (3271)
  Tuesday, March 26, 2002
-190.6 25.0% 0-1 +15.0 
  Hayes (2976) vs. Eastleigh (3091)
  Saturday, March 31, 2007
-62.5 41.1% 2-1 +11.8 
  Southport (3398) vs. Hayes (3287)
  Saturday, April 13, 2002
-176.9 26.5% 2-3 +14.7 
  Hayes (3331) vs. Southport (3442)
  Saturday, April 7, 2001
-44.1 43.7% 1-0 +11.3 
  Hayes (3314) vs. Hereford United (3419)
  Saturday, September 29, 2001
-39.3 44.4% 4-1 +19.5 
  Hayes (3390) vs. Woking (3494)
  Tuesday, April 28, 1998
-39.6 44.3% 3-0 +19.5 
  Hereford United (3400) vs. Hayes (3301)
  Saturday, April 20, 2002
-164.2 28.0% 0-1 +14.4 
  Hayes (3316) vs. Southport (3415)
  Saturday, November 24, 2001
-32.9 45.3% 1-0 +10.9 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Hayes's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hayes (3429) vs. Boreham Wood (3110)
  Saturday, November 15, 1997
+382.0 90.0% 0-1 -9.0 
  Telford United (3322) vs. Hayes (3454)
  Saturday, October 10, 1998
+64.4 59.2% 2-0 -17.8 
  Telford United (3289) vs. Hayes (3405)
  Saturday, March 7, 1998
+51.6 57.4% 1-0 -11.5 
  Hayes (3448) vs. Southport (3336)
  Saturday, September 4, 1999
+178.6 73.7% 0-2 -22.1 
  Hayes (3452) vs. Stalybridge Celtic (3341)
  Saturday, October 11, 1997
+174.3 73.2% 1-2 -14.6 
  Dover Athletic (3330) vs. Hayes (3440)
  Saturday, November 8, 1997
+46.8 56.7% 1-0 -11.3 
  Bath City (3248) vs. Hayes (3357)
  Tuesday, February 11, 1997
+43.3 56.2% 3-1 -16.9 
  Hayes (3403) vs. Welling United (3300)
  Monday, December 28, 1998
+170.7 72.8% 1-2 -14.6 
  Southport (3333) vs. Hayes (3435)
  Saturday, March 4, 2000
+34.1 54.9% 4-1 -19.2 
  Nuneaton Borough (3382) vs. Hayes (3483)
  Saturday, August 14, 1999
+33.6 54.8% 2-1 -11.0 
  Dover Athletic (3284) vs. Hayes (3383)
  Tuesday, August 20, 1996
+33.2 54.8% 1-0 -11.0 
  Maidenhead United (2954) vs. Hayes (3048)
  Saturday, January 28, 2006
+37.4 55.4% 2-1 -11.1 
  Hayes (3476) vs. Morecambe (3384)
  Saturday, August 21, 1999
+159.8 71.5% 0-1 -14.3 
  Telford United (3350) vs. Hayes (3442)
  Saturday, August 19, 2000
+25.3 53.6% 2-0 -16.1 
  Hayes (3398) vs. Bath City (3316)
  Saturday, April 26, 1997
+147.1 70.0% 0-1 -14.0 
  Eastbourne Borough (3058) vs. Hayes (3128)
  Monday, August 30, 2004
+9.7 51.4% 1-0 -10.3 
  Hayes (3426) vs. Telford United (3357)
  Saturday, April 29, 2000
+136.6 68.7% 1-2 -13.7 
  Welling United (3343) vs. Hayes (3408)
  Monday, April 13, 1998
+1.6 50.2% 2-0 -15.1 
  Hayes (3443) vs. Doncaster Rovers (3380)
  Saturday, January 29, 2000
+130.3 67.9% 3-4 -13.6 
  Hayes (3461) vs. Kingstonian (3403)
  Monday, August 30, 1999
+125.1 67.3% 1-2 -13.5 
 
   

The twenty teams that Hayes are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Woking 12 +5.86 
  Farnborough 12 +5.80 
  Southport 12 +4.47 
  Morecambe 12 +1.75 
  Northwich Victoria 12 -0.73 
  Welling United 14 -2.05 
  Yeovil Town 11 -3.05 
  Dover Athletic 12 -3.26 
  Stevenage 14 -3.88 
  AFC Telford United 12 -5.02 

The twenty teams that Hayes are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  AFC Telford United 12 -5.02 
  Stevenage 14 -3.88 
  Dover Athletic 12 -3.26 
  Yeovil Town 11 -3.05 
  Welling United 14 -2.05 
  Northwich Victoria 12 -0.73 
  Morecambe 12 +1.75 
  Southport 12 +4.47 
  Farnborough 12 +5.80 
  Woking 12 +5.86