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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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DERBY COUNTY
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Derby County's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1972 Saturday, April 15, 1972 4130.29  
  1948 Saturday, November 6, 1948 4126.55  
  1897 Saturday, March 6, 1897 4122.66  
  1976 Saturday, March 20, 1976 4121.80  
  1896 Wednesday, March 4, 1896 4120.47  
  1950 Saturday, January 7, 1950 4115.38  
  1949 Saturday, December 31, 1949 4104.90  
  1970 Wednesday, August 26, 1970 4099.30  
  1934 Saturday, February 3, 1934 4097.33  
  1898 Saturday, March 19, 1898 4094.18  
  1973 Wednesday, February 7, 1973 4089.17  
  1975 Saturday, November 29, 1975 4087.30  
  1971 Saturday, November 20, 1971 4086.78  
  1895 Saturday, December 28, 1895 4082.61  
  1933 Monday, December 25, 1933 4081.62  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1955 Monday, December 26, 1955 3619.93  
  1956 Saturday, January 14, 1956 3636.78  
  1957 Saturday, February 9, 1957 3654.05  
  1985 Saturday, March 2, 1985 3655.59  
  1982 Saturday, November 13, 1982 3665.43  
  1984 Saturday, March 31, 1984 3666.67  
  2003 Saturday, August 30, 2003 3676.15  
  1983 Saturday, January 1, 1983 3676.74  
  1962 Saturday, October 27, 1962 3687.21  
  1958 Saturday, November 8, 1958 3694.04  
  1963 Saturday, March 9, 1963 3695.12  
  2004 Saturday, January 10, 2004 3696.60  
  1954 Saturday, November 27, 1954 3697.22  
  1965 Saturday, September 25, 1965 3699.74  
  2011 Saturday, May 7, 2011 3714.43  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Derby County's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Derby County (3758) vs. Manchester United (4303)
  Wednesday, January 7, 2009
-494.1 5.5% 1-0 +18.9 
  Manchester United (4268) vs. Derby County (3905)
  Saturday, May 5, 2001
-429.6 7.8% 0-1 +18.4 
  Derby County (3697) vs. Nottingham Forest (4029)
  Saturday, January 8, 1983
-240.3 20.1% 2-0 +24.0 
  Derby County (3686) vs. Norwich City (4004)
  Saturday, February 18, 1984
-225.8 21.4% 2-1 +15.7 
  Derby County (3841) vs. Everton (4150)
  Wednesday, October 23, 1968
-205.3 23.5% 1-0 +15.3 
  Manchester United (4175) vs. Derby County (3890)
  Saturday, April 5, 1997
-350.6 11.7% 2-3 +17.7 
  Derby County (3798) vs. Chelsea (4078)
  Wednesday, October 2, 1968
-174.7 26.8% 3-1 +22.0 
  Derby County (3954) vs. Preston North End (4230)
  Saturday, October 19, 1889
-170.5 27.3% 2-1 +14.5 
  Derby County (3871) vs. Nottingham Forest (4131)
  Saturday, November 24, 1979
-156.5 28.9% 4-1 +24.9 
  Derby County (3951) vs. Sunderland (4206)
  Saturday, September 14, 1895
-121.3 33.2% 2-0 +20.0 
  Derby County (3698) vs. Liverpool (3949)
  Saturday, October 19, 1957
-144.9 30.3% 2-1 +13.9 
  Derby County (3694) vs. Liverpool (3940)
  Saturday, November 15, 1958
-141.1 30.7% 3-2 +13.9 
  Derby County (3714) vs. Birmingham City (3957)
  Saturday, August 6, 2011
-193.3 24.7% 2-1 +15.1 
  Derby County (3897) vs. Chelsea (4134)
  Saturday, October 30, 1999
-169.3 27.4% 3-1 +21.8 
  Derby County (3869) vs. Arsenal (4102)
  Saturday, September 27, 1952
-133.1 31.7% 2-0 +20.5 
  Derby County (3845) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4077)
  Saturday, November 3, 1979
-128.7 32.3% 2-1 +13.5 
  Derby County (3757) vs. Newcastle United (3987)
  Tuesday, February 9, 2010
-181.2 26.1% 3-0 +25.9 
  Derby County (3890) vs. Everton (4111)
  Saturday, April 13, 1907
-96.4 36.5% 5-2 +22.2 
  Sheffield United (3925) vs. Derby County (3704)
  Saturday, October 25, 1958
-326.4 13.3% 1-2 +17.3 
  Tottenham Hotspur (4041) vs. Derby County (3821)
  Saturday, March 10, 1923
-333.9 12.8% 0-1 +17.4 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Derby County's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Derby County (3902) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3294)
  Saturday, January 31, 1891
+715.5 98.4% 2-3 -19.7 
  Cambridge United (3500) vs. Derby County (3990)
  Tuesday, September 19, 1989
+412.0 91.5% 2-1 -18.3 
  Exeter City (3573) vs. Derby County (4056)
  Saturday, January 10, 1931
+353.5 88.4% 3-2 -17.7 
  Derby County (3663) vs. Boston United (3193)
  Saturday, December 10, 1955
+577.0 96.5% 1-6 -38.6 
  Southend United (3479) vs. Derby County (3909)
  Tuesday, September 22, 1987
+341.1 87.7% 1-0 -17.5 
  Derby County (3892) vs. Bristol Rovers (3497)
  Sunday, January 6, 2002
+460.6 93.4% 1-3 -14.0 
  Portsmouth (3511) vs. Derby County (3892)
  Wednesday, August 12, 2015
+340.1 87.6% 2-1 -8.8 
  Derby County (3860) vs. Grimsby Town (3492)
  Wednesday, August 24, 2005
+425.7 92.1% 0-1 -9.2 
  Hartlepool United (3352) vs. Derby County (3713)
  Wednesday, September 4, 1985
+271.6 82.7% 2-0 -24.8 
  Crewe Alexandra (3458) vs. Derby County (3802)
  Tuesday, August 10, 2010
+295.0 84.5% 1-0 -8.5 
  Millwall (3701) vs. Derby County (4037)
  Saturday, February 20, 1937
+204.1 76.4% 2-1 -15.3 
  Halifax Town (3398) vs. Derby County (3726)
  Tuesday, August 31, 1982
+236.9 79.6% 2-1 -15.9 
  Stockport County (3636) vs. Derby County (3957)
  Monday, January 1, 1912
+195.0 75.4% 4-0 -28.3 
  Lincoln City (3600) vs. Derby County (3904)
  Friday, April 17, 1908
+178.2 73.6% 1-0 -14.7 
  Birmingham City (3626) vs. Derby County (3927)
  Saturday, February 18, 1911
+175.1 73.3% 2-0 -22.0 
  Crawley Town (3502) vs. Derby County (3801)
  Monday, January 10, 2011
+249.4 80.8% 2-1 -8.1 
  Glossop (3636) vs. Derby County (3934)
  Saturday, February 10, 1912
+172.7 73.0% 3-1 -21.9 
  Hartlepool United (3404) vs. Derby County (3698)
  Saturday, November 17, 1984
+201.2 76.1% 2-1 -15.2 
  Bradford Park Avenue (3416) vs. Derby County (3701)
  Saturday, August 25, 1956
+177.1 73.5% 3-2 -14.7 
  Chester (3512) vs. Derby County (3796)
  Wednesday, September 23, 1964
+181.2 73.9% 5-4 -14.8 
 
   

The twenty teams that Derby County are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Gillingham 13 +4.64 
  Swindon Town 14 +3.75 
  Lincoln City 30 +3.73 
  Doncaster Rovers 23 +2.90 
  Bristol City 69 +2.85 
  Arsenal 109 +2.08 
  Tottenham Hotspur 69 +1.67 
  Watford 42 +1.62 
  Plymouth Argyle 47 +1.61 
  Notts County 61 +1.57 
  Crystal Palace 67 +1.49 
  Bolton Wanderers 129 +1.44 
  Cambridge United 17 +1.18 
  Sheffield Wednesday 128 +1.15 
  Southampton 70 +1.00 
  West Bromwich Albion 116 +0.90 
  Luton Town 41 +0.85 
  Leicester City 108 +0.83 
  Queens Park Rangers 52 +0.81 
  Rotherham United 46 +0.76 

The twenty teams that Derby County are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Carlisle United 22 -3.83 
  Hartlepool United 14 -3.04 
  Southend United 24 -3.00 
  Reading 42 -2.85 
  Stockport County 27 -2.81 
  Crewe Alexandra 14 -2.56 
  Bradford Park Avenue 21 -2.16 
  Cardiff City 61 -1.87 
  Shrewsbury Town 14 -1.86 
  Leeds City 13 -1.81 
  Norwich City 64 -1.70 
  Tranmere Rovers 15 -1.66 
  Swansea City 40 -1.56 
  Leyton Orient 48 -1.49 
  Everton 139 -1.49 
  Middlesbrough 141 -1.44 
  Liverpool 134 -1.40 
  Port Vale 20 -1.20 
  Millwall 52 -1.08 
  Hull City 58 -1.07