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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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BURTON ALBION
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Burton Albion's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Burton Albion sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2017 Saturday, April 29, 2017 3771.40  
  2016 Friday, October 21, 2016 3763.85  
  2019 Saturday, April 13, 2019 3748.61  
  2018 Monday, January 1, 2018 3741.45  
  2015 Monday, December 28, 2015 3724.48  
  2020 Tuesday, January 14, 2020 3698.01  
  2021 Tuesday, April 13, 2021 3670.90  
  2014 Saturday, September 13, 2014 3615.13  
  2013 Sunday, December 29, 2013 3585.02  
  2009 Tuesday, February 17, 2009 3530.07  
  2011 Saturday, November 26, 2011 3517.95  
  2010 Saturday, November 13, 2010 3505.12  
  2012 Saturday, December 29, 2012 3502.88  
  2008 Monday, December 29, 2008 3502.04  
  2007 Saturday, November 17, 2007 3464.49  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Burton Albion sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2004 Saturday, December 18, 2004 3286.68  
  2005 Tuesday, September 20, 2005 3300.87  
  2003 Saturday, March 1, 2003 3322.32  
  2002 Friday, December 6, 2002 3352.94  
  2006 Tuesday, January 24, 2006 3363.51  
  2007 Monday, April 9, 2007 3377.62  
  2012 Saturday, March 24, 2012 3388.33  
  2008 Saturday, September 20, 2008 3394.16  
  2011 Tuesday, April 12, 2011 3414.93  
  2009 Tuesday, August 11, 2009 3436.69  
  2010 Tuesday, January 19, 2010 3450.63  
  2013 Saturday, January 5, 2013 3485.42  
  2014 Saturday, November 8, 2014 3541.45  
  2021 Saturday, January 2, 2021 3541.51  
  2020 Tuesday, December 29, 2020 3555.00  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Burton Albion's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Leicester City (3869) vs. Burton Albion (3404)
  Tuesday, August 28, 2012
-507.3 5.1% 2-4 +14.2 
  Aldershot (3521) vs. Burton Albion (3089)
  Saturday, December 8, 1984
-524.8 4.7% 0-2 +28.6 
  Burton Albion (3557) vs. Wigan Athletic (3916)
  Tuesday, August 12, 2014
-318.0 13.8% 2-1 +8.6 
  Burton Albion (3575) vs. Queens Park Rangers (3890)
  Wednesday, August 27, 2014
-274.5 17.1% 1-0 +8.3 
  Burton Albion (3719) vs. AFC Bournemouth (4020)
  Wednesday, September 25, 2019
-261.5 18.2% 2-0 +12.3 
  Burton Albion (3706) vs. Burnley (4001)
  Tuesday, September 25, 2018
-253.3 18.9% 2-1 +8.1 
  Burton Albion (3494) vs. Middlesbrough (3788)
  Saturday, January 8, 2011
-248.4 19.3% 2-1 +8.1 
  Burton Albion (3203) vs. Halifax Town (3488)
  Wednesday, December 14, 1955
-178.3 26.4% 1-0 +14.7 
  Burton Albion (3676) vs. Aston Villa (3935)
  Tuesday, August 28, 2018
-218.2 22.2% 1-0 +7.8 
  Exeter City (3542) vs. Burton Albion (3301)
  Saturday, September 24, 2005
-296.8 15.3% 1-2 +16.9 
  Middlesbrough (3916) vs. Burton Albion (3685)
  Tuesday, December 18, 2018
-271.6 17.3% 0-1 +16.5 
  Burton Albion (3561) vs. Charlton Athletic (3781)
  Tuesday, November 24, 2020
-180.8 26.1% 4-2 +22.2 
  Burton Albion (3547) vs. Hull City (3767)
  Saturday, February 6, 2021
-180.2 26.2% 1-0 +14.8 
  Burton Albion (3678) vs. Derby County (3891)
  Saturday, April 14, 2018
-174.3 26.8% 3-1 +22.0 
  Burton Albion (3320) vs. Hereford United (3522)
  Saturday, January 8, 2005
-141.5 30.7% 3-0 +24.3 
  Burton Albion (3708) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3909)
  Tuesday, August 16, 2016
-165.3 27.9% 3-1 +21.6 
  Burton Albion (3713) vs. Norwich City (3914)
  Saturday, February 18, 2017
-165.3 27.9% 2-1 +14.4 
  Burton Albion (3322) vs. Chester City (3512)
  Saturday, March 8, 2003
-125.1 32.7% 2-0 +20.2 
  Barnet (3520) vs. Burton Albion (3334)
  Tuesday, September 21, 2004
-246.2 19.5% 2-3 +16.1 
  Burton Albion (3605) vs. Peterborough United (3790)
  Saturday, March 6, 2021
-144.8 30.3% 2-1 +13.9 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Burton Albion's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Barnet (3291) vs. Burton Albion (3594)
  Sunday, November 8, 2020
+263.0 82.0% 1-0 -8.2 
  Ebbsfleet United (3297) vs. Burton Albion (3509)
  Wednesday, March 11, 2009
+163.9 72.0% 2-1 -14.4 
  Tranmere Rovers (3548) vs. Burton Albion (3733)
  Saturday, September 21, 2019
+145.7 69.8% 2-1 -14.0 
  Burton Albion (3375) vs. Northwich Victoria (3191)
  Saturday, March 13, 2004
+243.6 80.3% 0-1 -16.1 
  Forest Green Rovers (3253) vs. Burton Albion (3435)
  Tuesday, October 10, 2006
+129.7 67.8% 1-0 -13.6 
  Southend United (3558) vs. Burton Albion (3738)
  Monday, April 22, 2019
+138.9 69.0% 3-2 -13.8 
  Burton Albion (3494) vs. Salisbury City (3317)
  Saturday, March 14, 2009
+224.8 78.5% 1-2 -15.7 
  Burton Albion (3427) vs. Tamworth (3264)
  Saturday, November 11, 2006
+215.0 77.5% 1-2 -7.8 
  AFC Wimbledon (3454) vs. Burton Albion (3615)
  Tuesday, September 16, 2014
+121.1 66.8% 3-0 -23.4 
  Burton Albion (3745) vs. Shrewsbury Town (3586)
  Saturday, January 23, 2016
+198.0 75.8% 1-2 -15.2 
  Accrington Stanley (3474) vs. Burton Albion (3624)
  Tuesday, February 24, 2015
+109.9 65.3% 1-0 -13.1 
  Burton Albion (3500) vs. Darlington (3353)
  Saturday, April 3, 2010
+193.0 75.2% 1-2 -15.0 
  Burton Albion (3695) vs. Northampton Town (3550)
  Sunday, January 5, 2020
+184.9 74.4% 2-4 -11.2 
  Burton Albion (3581) vs. Cambridge United (3436)
  Friday, October 3, 2014
+186.0 74.5% 1-3 -22.3 
  Woking (3332) vs. Burton Albion (3469)
  Saturday, February 9, 2008
+88.3 62.4% 2-1 -12.5 
  Fleetwood Town (3566) vs. Burton Albion (3697)
  Saturday, October 17, 2015
+92.7 63.0% 4-0 -23.6 
  Burton Albion (3723) vs. Lincoln City (3592)
  Saturday, December 7, 2019
+169.6 72.6% 0-2 -21.8 
  Salisbury City (3331) vs. Burton Albion (3460)
  Saturday, February 16, 2008
+79.7 61.3% 2-0 -18.4 
  Crawley Town (3372) vs. Burton Albion (3500)
  Saturday, April 4, 2009
+81.0 61.4% 4-0 -23.0 
  Northwich Victoria (3222) vs. Burton Albion (3349)
  Saturday, October 16, 2004
+67.6 59.6% 4-0 -22.4 
 
   

The twenty teams that Burton Albion are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Hereford 15 +5.65 
  Rochdale 15 +4.78 
  FC Halifax Town 15 +3.53 
  Exeter City 16 +3.40 
  Northwich Victoria 12 +2.86 
  Chesterfield 11 +2.82 
  Wycombe Wanderers 12 +1.87 
  Plymouth Argyle 12 +1.63 
  Ebbsfleet United 14 +1.53 
  Torquay United 15 +1.31 
  York City 18 +1.30 
  Northampton Town 15 +1.23 
  Gillingham 14 +1.12 
  Southend United 18 +0.83 
  Cheltenham Town 12 +0.57 
  Stevenage 18 +0.15 
  Peterborough United 11 +0.08 
  Rotherham United 12 +0.06 
  AFC Wimbledon 14 +0.02 
  Crawley Town 12 -0.16 

The twenty teams that Burton Albion are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Bury 12 -4.50 
  Fleetwood Town 14 -4.21 
  Forest Green Rovers 14 -3.32 
  Shrewsbury Town 18 -2.41 
  Dagenham and Redbridge 20 -2.12 
  Aldershot Town 19 -2.08 
  Accrington Stanley 25 -2.08 
  Barnet 17 -1.83 
  Morecambe 23 -1.67 
  Woking 14 -1.36 
  Crewe Alexandra 11 -1.21 
  Cambridge United 12 -1.07 
  Bristol Rovers 11 -0.95 
  Bradford City 16 -0.69 
  Oxford United 22 -0.53 
  Port Vale 11 -0.30 
  Crawley Town 12 -0.16 
  AFC Wimbledon 14 +0.02 
  Rotherham United 12 +0.06 
  Peterborough United 11 +0.08