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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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ASTON VILLA
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Aston Villa's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1897 Saturday, September 18, 1897 4269.36  
  1896 Saturday, December 26, 1896 4231.58  
  1895 Saturday, November 2, 1895 4200.58  
  1900 Monday, September 10, 1900 4184.88  
  1898 Saturday, January 8, 1898 4181.47  
  1905 Saturday, November 4, 1905 4172.97  
  1899 Saturday, January 21, 1899 4171.78  
  1894 Wednesday, December 26, 1894 4165.68  
  1914 Saturday, March 14, 1914 4160.71  
  1910 Saturday, December 10, 1910 4159.59  
  2010 Tuesday, March 16, 2010 4146.00  
  2009 Saturday, February 7, 2009 4142.68  
  1931 Saturday, October 17, 1931 4141.30  
  1904 Saturday, January 9, 1904 4139.70  
  1911 Saturday, January 28, 1911 4136.20  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1970 Saturday, March 28, 1970 3652.71  
  1971 Saturday, May 1, 1971 3682.37  
  1968 Saturday, December 14, 1968 3691.10  
  1969 Saturday, December 13, 1969 3715.96  
  1972 Saturday, January 8, 1972 3755.77  
  1967 Saturday, October 7, 1967 3766.50  
  2017 Monday, February 20, 2017 3773.84  
  1974 Tuesday, January 1, 1974 3799.02  
  1973 Saturday, December 29, 1973 3801.09  
  2016 Saturday, October 15, 2016 3809.24  
  1987 Monday, August 31, 1987 3824.46  
  1937 Monday, April 26, 1937 3830.07  
  1935 Saturday, December 21, 1935 3842.61  
  1964 Saturday, September 12, 1964 3844.08  
  1975 Saturday, January 4, 1975 3857.14  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Aston Villa's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Liverpool (4258) vs. Aston Villa (3938)
  Saturday, September 13, 2014
-366.0 10.8% 0-1 +17.8 
  Sunderland (4169) vs. Aston Villa (3851)
  Wednesday, January 1, 1936
-450.6 7.0% 1-3 +27.9 
  Aston Villa (3962) vs. Chelsea (4273)
  Saturday, March 15, 2014
-265.2 17.8% 1-0 +16.4 
  Manchester City (4270) vs. Aston Villa (3960)
  Tuesday, September 25, 2012
-356.3 11.4% 2-4 +13.3 
  Aston Villa (4030) vs. Chelsea (4315)
  Sunday, September 2, 2007
-231.3 20.9% 2-0 +23.7 
  Aston Villa (3944) vs. Liverpool (4206)
  Sunday, April 19, 2015
-261.6 18.2% 2-1 +16.4 
  Aston Villa (3942) vs. Manchester United (4196)
  Wednesday, April 28, 1965
-151.5 29.5% 2-1 +14.1 
  Aston Villa (3926) vs. Manchester United (4172)
  Saturday, August 19, 1995
-178.3 26.4% 3-1 +22.1 
  Aston Villa (3998) vs. Manchester City (4241)
  Saturday, September 28, 2013
-197.6 24.3% 3-2 +15.1 
  Aston Villa (4078) vs. Chelsea (4317)
  Saturday, October 17, 2009
-190.7 25.0% 2-1 +15.0 
  Aston Villa (3940) vs. Manchester United (4173)
  Saturday, February 19, 1949
-134.2 31.6% 2-1 +13.7 
  Liverpool (4270) vs. Aston Villa (4039)
  Monday, August 24, 2009
-279.1 16.7% 1-3 +25.0 
  Aston Villa (3972) vs. Liverpool (4201)
  Monday, April 16, 1979
-124.6 32.8% 3-1 +20.2 
  Aston Villa (3891) vs. Preston North End (4119)
  Saturday, November 22, 1958
-122.8 33.0% 2-0 +20.1 
  Aston Villa (3751) vs. Southampton (3979)
  Wednesday, January 29, 1969
-122.8 33.0% 2-1 +13.4 
  Aston Villa (3987) vs. Manchester United (4213)
  Sunday, March 27, 1994
-226.1 21.4% 3-1 +23.6 
  Aston Villa (3990) vs. Manchester United (4214)
  Wednesday, October 13, 1999
-155.7 29.0% 3-0 +12.4 
  Aston Villa (3909) vs. Manchester United (4130)
  Saturday, December 3, 1966
-117.7 33.7% 2-1 +13.3 
  Aston Villa (3761) vs. Manchester United (3980)
  Wednesday, December 23, 1970
-115.0 34.0% 2-1 +13.2 
  Aston Villa (3714) vs. Burnley (3932)
  Wednesday, September 9, 1970
-114.0 34.2% 2-0 +19.8 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Aston Villa's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Bradford City (3527) vs. Aston Villa (3977)
  Tuesday, January 8, 2013
+404.3 91.1% 3-1 -27.3 
  Reading (3650) vs. Aston Villa (4053)
  Wednesday, February 7, 1912
+277.8 83.2% 1-0 -16.6 
  Aldershot (3529) vs. Aston Villa (3920)
  Wednesday, January 8, 1964
+287.2 83.9% 2-1 -16.8 
  Millwall Athletic (3761) vs. Aston Villa (4151)
  Monday, March 5, 1900
+260.0 81.7% 2-1 -16.3 
  Aston Villa (4123) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3772)
  Thursday, February 25, 1904
+486.2 94.3% 0-1 -18.9 
  Blackburn Rovers (3920) vs. Aston Villa (4269)
  Saturday, September 25, 1897
+217.5 77.8% 4-3 -15.6 
  Aston Villa (3974) vs. Sheffield United (3653)
  Saturday, January 4, 2014
+366.2 89.2% 1-2 -8.9 
  Aston Villa (4068) vs. Fulham (3759)
  Saturday, January 23, 1999
+376.4 89.7% 0-2 -13.5 
  Aston Villa (4007) vs. Colchester United (3698)
  Wednesday, September 5, 1979
+412.6 91.5% 0-2 -27.4 
  Aston Villa (4058) vs. Leicester City (3753)
  Wednesday, September 26, 2007
+358.5 88.7% 0-1 -8.9 
  Burnley (3757) vs. Aston Villa (4059)
  Tuesday, October 26, 2004
+241.7 80.1% 3-1 -12.0 
  Glossop (3854) vs. Aston Villa (4153)
  Saturday, December 16, 1899
+169.1 72.6% 1-0 -14.5 
  Aston Villa (4061) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3763)
  Wednesday, November 28, 2001
+363.4 89.0% 0-1 -8.9 
  Aston Villa (4232) vs. Burnley (3937)
  Saturday, January 2, 1897
+431.4 92.3% 0-3 -32.3 
  Torquay United (3545) vs. Aston Villa (3837)
  Wednesday, April 12, 1972
+189.9 74.9% 2-1 -15.0 
  Aston Villa (4102) vs. Notts County (3823)
  Saturday, August 29, 1981
+377.4 89.8% 0-1 -18.0 
  Notts County (3861) vs. Aston Villa (4137)
  Saturday, December 16, 1905
+147.2 70.0% 2-1 -14.0 
  Doncaster Rovers (3693) vs. Aston Villa (3965)
  Tuesday, November 29, 2005
+214.2 77.4% 3-0 -13.6 
  Plymouth Argyle (3714) vs. Aston Villa (3984)
  Saturday, April 30, 1960
+167.5 72.4% 3-0 -25.3 
  Preston North End (3801) vs. Aston Villa (4070)
  Saturday, December 13, 1924
+149.0 70.2% 3-2 -14.0 
 
   

The twenty teams that Aston Villa are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Carlisle United 11 +5.93 
  Barnsley 19 +3.77 
  Reading 21 +3.14 
  Oldham Athletic 35 +2.72 
  Coventry City 58 +2.49 
  Bristol Rovers 16 +2.46 
  Chesterfield 11 +1.86 
  Rotherham United 16 +1.65 
  Huddersfield Town 72 +1.59 
  Brighton and Hove Albion 21 +1.53 
  Hull City 30 +1.48 
  Norwich City 66 +1.46 
  Blackpool 67 +1.42 
  Swindon Town 12 +1.36 
  Swansea City 27 +1.32 
  Sheffield United 130 +1.27 
  Charlton Athletic 60 +1.16 
  Nottingham Forest 122 +1.02 
  Burnley 116 +0.83 
  Sunderland 182 +0.78 

The twenty teams that Aston Villa are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Doncaster Rovers 12 -7.11 
  Luton Town 39 -2.64 
  Leicester City 98 -2.58 
  Wigan Athletic 21 -1.62 
  Fulham 66 -1.55 
  Bolton Wanderers 161 -1.51 
  Newcastle United 163 -1.50 
  West Ham United 110 -1.44 
  Queens Park Rangers 56 -1.41 
  AFC Wimbledon 32 -1.27 
  Manchester City 169 -1.27 
  Liverpool 191 -1.21 
  Bradford City 39 -1.20 
  Birmingham City 123 -1.14 
  Grimsby Town 23 -1.03 
  Manchester United 185 -0.93 
  Leyton Orient 13 -0.84 
  Tottenham Hotspur 163 -0.77 
  Blackburn Rovers 171 -0.67 
  Southampton 76 -0.49