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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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ARSENAL
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Arsenal's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Saturday, April 6, 2024 | 4328.05 |
| 2004 | Saturday, October 16, 2004 | 4316.13 |
| 2023 | Sunday, October 8, 2023 | 4296.56 |
| 2003 | Saturday, November 22, 2003 | 4295.50 |
| 2002 | Sunday, October 6, 2002 | 4293.47 |
| 2005 | Wednesday, May 11, 2005 | 4290.45 |
| 2015 | Monday, May 4, 2015 | 4275.44 |
| 2022 | Saturday, December 31, 2022 | 4272.29 |
| 2008 | Sunday, January 6, 2008 | 4267.44 |
| 2007 | Saturday, December 29, 2007 | 4261.50 |
| 2017 | Wednesday, November 29, 2017 | 4245.23 |
| 2016 | Sunday, November 27, 2016 | 4244.83 |
| 2014 | Friday, January 24, 2014 | 4243.38 |
| 2009 | Saturday, November 7, 2009 | 4239.70 |
| 2013 | Wednesday, December 4, 2013 | 4231.55 |
A list of the worst 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1894 | Saturday, September 15, 1894 | 3686.68 |
| 1897 | Thursday, April 8, 1897 | 3737.09 |
| 1896 | Saturday, February 1, 1896 | 3741.68 |
| 1895 | Monday, January 7, 1895 | 3744.37 |
| 1900 | Saturday, September 22, 1900 | 3771.40 |
| 1901 | Saturday, March 16, 1901 | 3776.18 |
| 1899 | Saturday, November 11, 1899 | 3779.44 |
| 1898 | Saturday, January 1, 1898 | 3780.91 |
| 1913 | Saturday, February 1, 1913 | 3789.81 |
| 1902 | Saturday, January 25, 1902 | 3797.50 |
| 1915 | Friday, April 2, 1915 | 3807.39 |
| 1919 | Saturday, August 30, 1919 | 3812.56 |
| 1914 | Friday, April 10, 1914 | 3816.26 |
| 1912 | Thursday, December 26, 1912 | 3837.22 |
| 1920 | Saturday, February 21, 1920 | 3854.61 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Arsenal's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal (3884) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4136) Monday, April 5, 1920 |
-133.0 | 31.7% | 1-0 | +13.7 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (4196) vs. Arsenal (3948) Tuesday, April 8, 1958 |
-354.7 | 11.5% | 1-2 | +17.7 |
| Arsenal (3917) vs. Manchester City (4155) Saturday, December 2, 1905 |
-109.1 | 34.8% | 2-0 | +19.6 |
| Manchester City (4027) vs. Arsenal (3799) Saturday, March 8, 1913 |
-349.2 | 11.8% | 0-1 | +17.6 |
| Sheffield Wednesday (4155) vs. Arsenal (3928) Saturday, October 29, 1904 |
-361.1 | 11.1% | 0-3 | +31.1 |
| Arsenal (3915) vs. Liverpool (4134) Tuesday, February 24, 1976 |
-115.7 | 33.9% | 1-0 | +13.2 |
| Arsenal (3945) vs. Everton (4160) Saturday, April 22, 1905 |
-81.5 | 38.5% | 2-1 | +12.3 |
| Liverpool (4151) vs. Arsenal (3944) Saturday, November 9, 1974 |
-308.0 | 14.5% | 1-3 | +25.6 |
| Arsenal (3857) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4061) Tuesday, April 14, 1925 |
-83.9 | 38.2% | 2-0 | +18.6 |
| Arsenal (3951) vs. Manchester United (4154) Saturday, March 21, 1908 |
-77.0 | 39.1% | 1-0 | +12.2 |
| Liverpool (4013) vs. Arsenal (3813) Monday, September 1, 1919 |
-320.2 | 13.7% | 2-3 | +17.3 |
| Arsenal (3742) vs. Notts County (3941) Saturday, November 3, 1894 |
-66.7 | 40.5% | 2-1 | +11.9 |
| Arsenal (3908) vs. Liverpool (4106) Wednesday, March 22, 1922 |
-84.2 | 38.1% | 1-0 | +12.4 |
| Arsenal (3843) vs. Sunderland (4039) Saturday, September 20, 1919 |
-76.6 | 39.2% | 3-2 | +12.2 |
| Arsenal (3926) vs. Newcastle United (4122) Monday, December 25, 1905 |
-66.9 | 40.5% | 4-3 | +11.9 |
| Arsenal (3936) vs. Aston Villa (4127) Monday, April 11, 1910 |
-66.9 | 40.5% | 1-0 | +11.9 |
| Arsenal (3787) vs. Blackburn Rovers (3977) Saturday, February 9, 1901 |
-59.9 | 41.5% | 2-0 | +17.6 |
| Burnley (4143) vs. Arsenal (3955) Saturday, December 16, 1961 |
-292.0 | 15.7% | 0-2 | +25.3 |
| Everton (4041) vs. Arsenal (3853) Saturday, October 11, 1919 |
-307.1 | 14.6% | 2-3 | +17.1 |
| Arsenal (3881) vs. Bolton Wanderers (4067) Saturday, March 7, 1925 |
-66.3 | 40.6% | 1-0 | +11.9 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Arsenal's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham (3382) vs. Arsenal (4088) Saturday, January 4, 1992 |
+629.9 | 97.4% | 2-1 | -19.5 |
| Walsall (3559) vs. Arsenal (4179) Saturday, January 14, 1933 |
+490.2 | 94.4% | 2-0 | -28.3 |
| Northampton Town (3537) vs. Arsenal (4007) Saturday, January 4, 1958 |
+364.2 | 89.1% | 3-1 | -26.7 |
| Sheffield United (3591) vs. Arsenal (4051) Tuesday, October 6, 1981 |
+361.8 | 88.9% | 1-0 | -17.8 |
| Rotherham United (3602) vs. Arsenal (4060) Tuesday, August 29, 1978 |
+353.0 | 88.4% | 3-1 | -26.5 |
| Nottingham Forest (3767) vs. Arsenal (4224) Sunday, January 7, 2018 |
+419.0 | 91.8% | 4-2 | -13.8 |
| Arsenal (4078) vs. Norwich City (3631) Saturday, January 30, 1954 |
+553.1 | 96.0% | 1-2 | -19.2 |
| Ipswich Town (3782) vs. Arsenal (4218) Wednesday, January 12, 2011 |
+391.3 | 90.5% | 1-0 | -18.1 |
| Arsenal (4049) vs. Tranmere Rovers (3622) Tuesday, October 2, 1973 |
+529.2 | 95.5% | 0-1 | -19.1 |
| Sheffield Wednesday (3853) vs. Arsenal (4270) Tuesday, October 27, 2015 |
+379.2 | 89.9% | 3-0 | -15.7 |
| Nottingham Forest (3842) vs. Arsenal (4213) Sunday, January 9, 2022 |
+333.1 | 87.2% | 1-0 | -8.7 |
| Arsenal (4130) vs. Bradford Park Avenue (3769) Saturday, January 10, 1948 |
+473.2 | 93.8% | 0-1 | -18.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion (3907) vs. Arsenal (4259) Saturday, October 15, 2005 |
+296.7 | 84.7% | 2-1 | -16.9 |
| Everton (3941) vs. Arsenal (4293) Saturday, October 19, 2002 |
+287.9 | 84.0% | 2-1 | -16.8 |
| Arsenal (4264) vs. Sunderland (3914) Wednesday, November 6, 2002 |
+415.1 | 91.6% | 2-3 | -9.2 |
| Burnley (3846) vs. Arsenal (4186) Tuesday, December 2, 2008 |
+292.0 | 84.3% | 2-0 | -25.3 |
| Everton (3954) vs. Arsenal (4287) Saturday, February 4, 2023 |
+295.5 | 84.6% | 1-0 | -16.9 |
| Stoke City (3896) vs. Arsenal (4222) Saturday, November 1, 2008 |
+278.6 | 83.3% | 2-1 | -16.7 |
| York City (3698) vs. Arsenal (4019) Saturday, January 26, 1985 |
+228.2 | 78.8% | 1-0 | -15.8 |
| Birmingham City (3970) vs. Arsenal (4290) Sunday, May 15, 2005 |
+260.5 | 81.8% | 2-1 | -16.4 |
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The twenty teams that Arsenal are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Arsenal are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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