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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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ARSENAL
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Arsenal's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2004 Saturday, October 16, 2004 4316.13  
  2003 Saturday, November 22, 2003 4295.50  
  2002 Sunday, October 6, 2002 4293.47  
  2005 Wednesday, May 11, 2005 4290.45  
  2015 Monday, May 4, 2015 4276.10  
  2008 Sunday, January 6, 2008 4268.13  
  2007 Saturday, December 29, 2007 4262.28  
  2016 Sunday, November 27, 2016 4245.61  
  2014 Friday, January 24, 2014 4243.74  
  2017 Saturday, January 28, 2017 4241.94  
  2009 Saturday, November 7, 2009 4240.09  
  2013 Wednesday, December 4, 2013 4231.80  
  2010 Wednesday, January 20, 2010 4228.32  
  2011 Saturday, January 1, 2011 4226.00  
  1932 Saturday, December 24, 1932 4217.62  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1894 Saturday, September 15, 1894 3686.68  
  1897 Thursday, April 8, 1897 3737.09  
  1896 Saturday, February 1, 1896 3741.68  
  1895 Monday, January 7, 1895 3744.37  
  1900 Saturday, September 22, 1900 3771.40  
  1901 Saturday, March 16, 1901 3776.18  
  1899 Saturday, November 11, 1899 3779.44  
  1898 Saturday, January 1, 1898 3780.91  
  1913 Saturday, February 1, 1913 3789.81  
  1902 Saturday, January 25, 1902 3797.50  
  1915 Friday, April 2, 1915 3807.39  
  1919 Saturday, August 30, 1919 3812.56  
  1914 Friday, April 10, 1914 3816.26  
  1912 Thursday, December 26, 1912 3837.22  
  1920 Saturday, February 21, 1920 3854.61  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Arsenal's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Arsenal (3884) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4136)
  Monday, April 5, 1920
-133.0 31.7% 1-0 +13.7 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers (4196) vs. Arsenal (3948)
  Tuesday, April 8, 1958
-354.7 11.5% 1-2 +17.7 
  Arsenal (3917) vs. Manchester City (4155)
  Saturday, December 2, 1905
-109.1 34.8% 2-0 +19.6 
  Manchester City (4027) vs. Arsenal (3799)
  Saturday, March 8, 1913
-349.2 11.8% 0-1 +17.6 
  Sheffield Wednesday (4155) vs. Arsenal (3928)
  Saturday, October 29, 1904
-361.1 11.1% 0-3 +31.1 
  Arsenal (3915) vs. Liverpool (4134)
  Tuesday, February 24, 1976
-115.7 33.9% 1-0 +13.2 
  Arsenal (3945) vs. Everton (4160)
  Saturday, April 22, 1905
-81.5 38.5% 2-1 +12.3 
  Liverpool (4151) vs. Arsenal (3944)
  Saturday, November 9, 1974
-308.0 14.5% 1-3 +25.6 
  Arsenal (3857) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4061)
  Tuesday, April 14, 1925
-83.9 38.2% 2-0 +18.6 
  Arsenal (3951) vs. Manchester United (4154)
  Saturday, March 21, 1908
-77.0 39.1% 1-0 +12.2 
  Liverpool (4013) vs. Arsenal (3813)
  Monday, September 1, 1919
-320.2 13.7% 2-3 +17.3 
  Arsenal (3742) vs. Notts County (3941)
  Saturday, November 3, 1894
-66.7 40.5% 2-1 +11.9 
  Arsenal (3908) vs. Liverpool (4106)
  Wednesday, March 22, 1922
-84.2 38.1% 1-0 +12.4 
  Arsenal (3843) vs. Sunderland (4039)
  Saturday, September 20, 1919
-76.6 39.2% 3-2 +12.2 
  Arsenal (3926) vs. Newcastle United (4122)
  Monday, December 25, 1905
-66.9 40.5% 4-3 +11.9 
  Arsenal (3936) vs. Aston Villa (4127)
  Monday, April 11, 1910
-66.9 40.5% 1-0 +11.9 
  Arsenal (3787) vs. Blackburn Rovers (3977)
  Saturday, February 9, 1901
-59.9 41.5% 2-0 +17.6 
  Burnley (4143) vs. Arsenal (3955)
  Saturday, December 16, 1961
-292.0 15.7% 0-2 +25.3 
  Everton (4041) vs. Arsenal (3853)
  Saturday, October 11, 1919
-307.1 14.6% 2-3 +17.1 
  Arsenal (3881) vs. Bolton Wanderers (4067)
  Saturday, March 7, 1925
-66.3 40.6% 1-0 +11.9 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Arsenal's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Wrexham (3382) vs. Arsenal (4088)
  Saturday, January 4, 1992
+629.9 97.4% 2-1 -19.5 
  Walsall (3559) vs. Arsenal (4179)
  Saturday, January 14, 1933
+490.2 94.4% 2-0 -28.3 
  Northampton Town (3537) vs. Arsenal (4007)
  Saturday, January 4, 1958
+364.2 89.1% 3-1 -26.7 
  Sheffield United (3591) vs. Arsenal (4051)
  Tuesday, October 6, 1981
+361.8 88.9% 1-0 -17.8 
  Rotherham United (3602) vs. Arsenal (4060)
  Tuesday, August 29, 1978
+353.0 88.4% 3-1 -26.5 
  Arsenal (4078) vs. Norwich City (3631)
  Saturday, January 30, 1954
+553.1 96.0% 1-2 -19.2 
  Ipswich Town (3782) vs. Arsenal (4219)
  Wednesday, January 12, 2011
+387.8 90.3% 1-0 -18.1 
  Arsenal (4049) vs. Tranmere Rovers (3622)
  Tuesday, October 2, 1973
+529.2 95.5% 0-1 -19.1 
  Sheffield Wednesday (3854) vs. Arsenal (4271)
  Tuesday, October 27, 2015
+376.0 89.7% 3-0 -15.7 
  Arsenal (4130) vs. Bradford Park Avenue (3769)
  Saturday, January 10, 1948
+473.2 93.8% 0-1 -18.8 
  West Bromwich Albion (3907) vs. Arsenal (4259)
  Saturday, October 15, 2005
+294.8 84.5% 2-1 -16.9 
  Everton (3941) vs. Arsenal (4293)
  Saturday, October 19, 2002
+287.9 84.0% 2-1 -16.8 
  Arsenal (4264) vs. Sunderland (3914)
  Wednesday, November 6, 2002
+415.1 91.6% 2-3 -9.2 
  Burnley (3846) vs. Arsenal (4186)
  Tuesday, December 2, 2008
+289.0 84.1% 2-0 -25.2 
  Stoke City (3896) vs. Arsenal (4222)
  Saturday, November 1, 2008
+275.4 83.0% 2-1 -16.6 
  York City (3698) vs. Arsenal (4019)
  Saturday, January 26, 1985
+228.2 78.8% 1-0 -15.8 
  Arsenal (4238) vs. Hull City (3917)
  Saturday, September 27, 2008
+371.9 89.5% 1-2 -17.9 
  Birmingham City (3970) vs. Arsenal (4290)
  Sunday, May 15, 2005
+260.5 81.8% 2-1 -16.4 
  Arsenal (4100) vs. Swindon Town (3779)
  Saturday, March 15, 1969
+320.4 86.3% 1-3 -25.9 
  Bradford City (3868) vs. Arsenal (4184)
  Saturday, February 5, 2000
+247.8 80.6% 2-1 -16.1 
 
   

The twenty teams that Arsenal are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Glossop North End 14 +7.50 
  Reading 14 +4.47 
  Chesterfield 11 +3.85 
  Gainsborough Trinity 16 +3.06 
  Brighton and Hove Albion 15 +2.83 
  Bristol City 32 +2.61 
  Fulham 55 +2.41 
  Charlton Athletic 55 +2.34 
  Crystal Palace 40 +1.94 
  Port Vale 22 +1.74 
  Darwen 11 +1.69 
  Nottingham Forest 98 +1.59 
  Manchester City 188 +1.54 
  Blackpool 82 +1.52 
  Burnley 103 +1.44 
  Everton 206 +1.34 
  Grimsby Town 47 +1.21 
  Leyton Orient 11 +1.13 
  Blackburn Rovers 121 +0.97 
  Coventry City 76 +0.84 

The twenty teams that Arsenal are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Walsall 17 -4.73 
  Watford 26 -3.84 
  Swansea City 23 -3.41 
  Derby County 109 -2.08 
  Oldham Athletic 23 -2.03 
  Millwall 12 -1.82 
  Queens Park Rangers 53 -1.27 
  Sunderland 152 -1.26 
  Barnsley 24 -1.25 
  Sheffield United 113 -1.20 
  Leeds United 119 -1.15 
  Newcastle United 178 -1.13 
  Burton Swifts 16 -0.99 
  Chelsea 185 -0.93 
  Notts County 46 -0.72 
  Bradford City 26 -0.65 
  Aston Villa 193 -0.61 
  Birmingham City 133 -0.56 
  Bury 34 -0.49 
  Lincoln City 27 -0.48