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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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AFC HORNCHURCH
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of AFC Hornchurch's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 AFC Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2004 Saturday, October 23, 2004 3208.25  
  2005 Saturday, January 1, 2005 3147.55  
  2013 Saturday, October 5, 2013 3087.37  
  2014 Saturday, February 15, 2014 3040.69  
  2012 Tuesday, October 2, 2012 3032.22  
  2011 Saturday, November 19, 2011 3000.79  
  2009 Tuesday, August 18, 2009 2984.99  
  2008 Saturday, December 6, 2008 2965.05  
  2010 Saturday, January 16, 2010 2944.54  
  2019 Tuesday, October 1, 2019 2932.79  
  2015 Saturday, February 28, 2015 2901.13  
  2018 Tuesday, October 2, 2018 2870.23  
  2007 Saturday, December 29, 2007 2868.43  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 AFC Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2007 Tuesday, August 21, 2007 2758.86  
  2019 Saturday, January 26, 2019 2792.95  
  2018 Saturday, December 22, 2018 2796.17  
  2015 Saturday, April 25, 2015 2810.34  
  2008 Saturday, January 5, 2008 2858.38  
  2010 Saturday, October 2, 2010 2858.77  
  2014 Tuesday, September 30, 2014 2883.53  
  2011 Saturday, February 12, 2011 2891.20  
  2009 Saturday, November 14, 2009 2894.66  
  2012 Saturday, March 17, 2012 2978.76  
  2013 Saturday, February 23, 2013 2995.40  
  2005 Saturday, April 9, 2005 3070.74  
  2004 Tuesday, August 17, 2004 3089.90  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in AFC Hornchurch's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hornchurch (3100) vs. Darlington (3398)
  Sunday, November 9, 2003
-238.6 20.2% 2-0 +12.0 
  AFC Hornchurch (2780) vs. Chelmsford City (3044)
  Saturday, September 1, 2007
-214.4 22.5% 1-0 +15.5 
  Chelmsford City (3106) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2867)
  Saturday, February 9, 2008
-288.3 16.0% 0-4 +31.5 
  Hayes and Yeading United (3210) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2994)
  Saturday, December 1, 2012
-258.7 18.4% 1-3 +24.5 
  Dartford (3095) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2895)
  Saturday, November 28, 2009
-245.8 19.5% 0-1 +16.1 
  Basingstoke Town (3154) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2979)
  Saturday, September 8, 2012
-218.0 22.2% 0-2 +23.3 
  Chelmsford City (3185) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3011)
  Wednesday, March 13, 2013
-216.9 22.3% 1-4 +27.2 
  AFC Hornchurch (2792) vs. Hastings United (2950)
  Tuesday, September 25, 2007
-108.7 34.9% 3-2 +13.0 
  AFC Hornchurch (2810) vs. Leatherhead (2962)
  Saturday, August 11, 2018
-110.4 34.6% 3-0 +22.9 
  Billericay Town (2966) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2828)
  Saturday, December 15, 2007
-187.4 25.4% 0-2 +22.4 
  Ashford Town (2885) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2750)
  Saturday, August 18, 2007
-184.6 25.7% 4-5 +14.9 
  Leatherhead (2951) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2821)
  Saturday, February 23, 2019
-170.7 27.2% 1-2 +14.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (2982) vs. Eastleigh (3106)
  Saturday, November 17, 2012
-81.7 38.5% 1-0 +12.3 
  Tonbridge Angels (3021) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2908)
  Saturday, March 7, 2009
-160.3 28.4% 0-1 +14.3 
  Maidstone United (2910) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2798)
  Wednesday, November 28, 2007
-161.2 28.3% 0-2 +21.5 
  AFC Hornchurch (2803) vs. Enfield Town (2912)
  Saturday, February 16, 2019
-68.1 40.3% 2-0 +17.9 
  AFC Hornchurch (2857) vs. Heybridge Swifts (2965)
  Saturday, December 29, 2007
-59.0 41.6% 1-0 +11.7 
  AFC Hornchurch (2999) vs. Bath City (3105)
  Saturday, March 9, 2013
-63.1 41.0% 2-1 +11.8 
  AFC Hornchurch (2850) vs. Folkestone Invicta (2951)
  Tuesday, October 2, 2018
-60.1 41.4% 4-1 +20.5 
  AFC Hornchurch (3003) vs. Dorchester Town (3102)
  Saturday, September 15, 2012
-56.7 41.9% 1-0 +11.6 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in AFC Hornchurch's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  AFC Hornchurch (3024) vs. Cray Wanderers (2656)
  Tuesday, March 18, 2014
+408.3 91.3% 1-2 -18.3 
  AFC Hornchurch (3021) vs. Hastings United (2770)
  Tuesday, March 6, 2012
+296.6 84.6% 0-1 -16.9 
  AFC Hornchurch (3068) vs. Harrow Borough (2820)
  Tuesday, November 12, 2013
+288.5 84.0% 2-4 -25.2 
  Horsham (2730) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2933)
  Saturday, October 5, 2019
+163.3 71.9% 1-0 -14.4 
  Lowestoft Town (2741) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2922)
  Tuesday, August 24, 2010
+135.6 68.6% 2-0 -20.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (2995) vs. Hendon (2819)
  Tuesday, November 29, 2011
+221.7 78.2% 0-1 -15.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (3015) vs. Lewes (2841)
  Saturday, August 10, 2013
+215.3 77.5% 0-1 -15.5 
  Leatherhead (2786) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2952)
  Saturday, August 23, 2014
+125.0 67.3% 2-1 -13.5 
  Harrow Borough (2827) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2992)
  Saturday, April 21, 2012
+119.5 66.5% 1-0 -13.3 
  Metropolitan Police (2879) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3034)
  Saturday, January 11, 2014
+114.0 65.8% 2-1 -13.2 
  AFC Hornchurch (2934) vs. Horsham (2785)
  Saturday, August 27, 2011
+194.1 75.4% 0-2 -22.6 
  Hendon (2860) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3004)
  Saturday, March 10, 2012
+98.6 63.8% 2-0 -19.1 
  Hornchurch (3205) vs. Dorchester Town (3072)
  Tuesday, November 9, 2004
+192.8 75.2% 2-3 -15.0 
  Canvey Island (2867) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2999)
  Saturday, December 31, 2011
+86.5 62.2% 4-1 -21.8 
  Hendon (2801) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2928)
  Tuesday, March 22, 2011
+82.5 61.7% 2-1 -12.3 
  East Thurrock United (2876) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2999)
  Saturday, August 9, 2014
+83.2 61.8% 1-0 -12.4 
  AFC Hornchurch (3059) vs. Billericay Town (2937)
  Thursday, December 26, 2013
+163.2 71.9% 1-2 -14.4 
  AFC Hornchurch (2934) vs. Horsham (2814)
  Saturday, January 29, 2011
+164.6 72.1% 0-2 -21.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (3013) vs. Hampton and Richmond Borough (2904)
  Saturday, April 19, 2014
+150.1 70.3% 2-3 -14.1 
  Canvey Island (2831) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2940)
  Tuesday, September 23, 2008
+61.4 58.7% 3-2 -11.7 
 
   

The twenty teams that AFC Hornchurch are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Margate 19 +3.39 
  Harrow Borough 14 +1.99 
  Maidstone United 12 +1.71 
  Carshalton Athletic 17 +1.06 
  Kingstonian 14 +0.94 
  Tonbridge Angels 14 +0.65 
  Wealdstone 12 +0.56 
  Bognor Regis Town 11 -1.20 
  Billericay Town 16 -1.88 
  Canvey Island 12 -4.69 
  Hendon 14 -5.94 
  Horsham 11 -5.99 

The twenty teams that AFC Hornchurch are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Horsham 11 -5.99 
  Hendon 14 -5.94 
  Canvey Island 12 -4.69 
  Billericay Town 16 -1.88 
  Bognor Regis Town 11 -1.20 
  Wealdstone 12 +0.56 
  Tonbridge Angels 14 +0.65 
  Kingstonian 14 +0.94 
  Carshalton Athletic 17 +1.06 
  Maidstone United 12 +1.71 
  Harrow Borough 14 +1.99 
  Margate 19 +3.39